Recent National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader. Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow have kept temperatures from exceeding seasonal averages, while short-range model consensus shows no significant warming or cooling signals through the afternoon. This alignment with May baseline conditions, absent any anomalous heat advection or strong ridging, supports the current implied probability distribution and leaves limited room for downward revision unless a late-day fog bank develops. Final resolution will depend on the official airport maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
68°F or higher 79%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 3.2%
49°F or below <1%
$21,734 Vol.
$21,734 Vol.
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
18%
68°F or higher
79%
68°F or higher 79%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 3.2%
49°F or below <1%
$21,734 Vol.
$21,734 Vol.
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
$894 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,552 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$555 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$608 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,452 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,112 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,817 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$4,090 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$2,432 Vol.
18%
68°F or higher
$2,297 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader. Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow have kept temperatures from exceeding seasonal averages, while short-range model consensus shows no significant warming or cooling signals through the afternoon. This alignment with May baseline conditions, absent any anomalous heat advection or strong ridging, supports the current implied probability distribution and leaves limited room for downward revision unless a late-day fog bank develops. Final resolution will depend on the official airport maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$21,734Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader. Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow have kept temperatures from exceeding seasonal averages, while short-range model consensus shows no significant warming or cooling signals through the afternoon. This alignment with May baseline conditions, absent any anomalous heat advection or strong ridging, supports the current implied probability distribution and leaves limited room for downward revision unless a late-day fog bank develops. Final resolution will depend on the official airport maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,734Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFORecent National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader. Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow have kept temperatures from exceeding seasonal averages, while short-range model consensus shows no significant warming or cooling signals through the afternoon. This alignment with May baseline conditions, absent any anomalous heat advection or strong ridging, supports the current implied probability distribution and leaves limited room for downward revision unless a late-day fog bank develops. Final resolution will depend on the official airport maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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