Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging that drives subsidence warming and light southerly flow. This stable pattern, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems, aligns precisely with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for the 27°C bin. Mid-May climatological normals near 24–25°C provide useful historical context, yet the current synoptic setup supports a modest above-average reading without exceeding the next threshold. Traders are monitoring the final Shanghai Meteorological Service updates and official observations from Pudong International Airport, where any unexpected increase in moisture or wind shift could realistically push the peak to 28°C or higher.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,391 Vol.
$138,391 Vol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,391 Vol.
$138,391 Vol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$2,126 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,104 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,388 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,608 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$19,138 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$18,659 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$28,317 Vol.
100%
28°C
$14,226 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$14,919 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,970 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$6,937 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging that drives subsidence warming and light southerly flow. This stable pattern, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems, aligns precisely with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for the 27°C bin. Mid-May climatological normals near 24–25°C provide useful historical context, yet the current synoptic setup supports a modest above-average reading without exceeding the next threshold. Traders are monitoring the final Shanghai Meteorological Service updates and official observations from Pudong International Airport, where any unexpected increase in moisture or wind shift could realistically push the peak to 28°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$138,391Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging that drives subsidence warming and light southerly flow. This stable pattern, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems, aligns precisely with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for the 27°C bin. Mid-May climatological normals near 24–25°C provide useful historical context, yet the current synoptic setup supports a modest above-average reading without exceeding the next threshold. Traders are monitoring the final Shanghai Meteorological Service updates and official observations from Pudong International Airport, where any unexpected increase in moisture or wind shift could realistically push the peak to 28°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$138,391Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging that drives subsidence warming and light southerly flow. This stable pattern, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems, aligns precisely with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for the 27°C bin. Mid-May climatological normals near 24–25°C provide useful historical context, yet the current synoptic setup supports a modest above-average reading without exceeding the next threshold. Traders are monitoring the final Shanghai Meteorological Service updates and official observations from Pudong International Airport, where any unexpected increase in moisture or wind shift could realistically push the peak to 28°C or higher.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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