Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show daytime highs in Shenzhen stabilizing near 28–29 °C on May 18 amid building subtropical ridge influence and reduced cloud cover relative to the prior 48 hours. Persistent moisture from the Pearl River Delta and light southeasterly flow are moderating peak solar heating, while historical May climatology places average maxima around 29 °C with occasional excursions to 30–31 °C under clearer conditions. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 29 °C because recent model runs converge on this range without strong signals for either significant warming or renewed showers that would suppress temperatures further. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport, with any late-model shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the 27 °C and 30 °C contracts most sharply.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
29°C 32%
28°C 29%
27°C 18%
30°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
18%
28°C
29%
29°C
32%
30°C
13%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 29%
27°C 18%
30°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$592 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,143 Vol.
1%
26°C
$750 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,119 Vol.
18%
28°C
$548 Vol.
29%
29°C
$482 Vol.
32%
30°C
$608 Vol.
13%
31°C
$364 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$554 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show daytime highs in Shenzhen stabilizing near 28–29 °C on May 18 amid building subtropical ridge influence and reduced cloud cover relative to the prior 48 hours. Persistent moisture from the Pearl River Delta and light southeasterly flow are moderating peak solar heating, while historical May climatology places average maxima around 29 °C with occasional excursions to 30–31 °C under clearer conditions. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 29 °C because recent model runs converge on this range without strong signals for either significant warming or renewed showers that would suppress temperatures further. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport, with any late-model shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the 27 °C and 30 °C contracts most sharply.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$6,976Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show daytime highs in Shenzhen stabilizing near 28–29 °C on May 18 amid building subtropical ridge influence and reduced cloud cover relative to the prior 48 hours. Persistent moisture from the Pearl River Delta and light southeasterly flow are moderating peak solar heating, while historical May climatology places average maxima around 29 °C with occasional excursions to 30–31 °C under clearer conditions. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 29 °C because recent model runs converge on this range without strong signals for either significant warming or renewed showers that would suppress temperatures further. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport, with any late-model shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the 27 °C and 30 °C contracts most sharply.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,976Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZLatest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show daytime highs in Shenzhen stabilizing near 28–29 °C on May 18 amid building subtropical ridge influence and reduced cloud cover relative to the prior 48 hours. Persistent moisture from the Pearl River Delta and light southeasterly flow are moderating peak solar heating, while historical May climatology places average maxima around 29 °C with occasional excursions to 30–31 °C under clearer conditions. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 29 °C because recent model runs converge on this range without strong signals for either significant warming or renewed showers that would suppress temperatures further. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport, with any late-model shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the 27 °C and 30 °C contracts most sharply.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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