Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts converge on a maximum temperature of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station for May 17, underpinned by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and enhanced afternoon solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This alignment has produced the market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs and the short window before the daily high is officially recorded. Minor revisions remain possible if unexpected cloud cover or shifts in the steering flow alter afternoon temperatures, yet current observational trends and climatological norms for mid-May in Tokyo support the prevailing consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,879 Vol.
$88,879 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,879 Vol.
$88,879 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts converge on a maximum temperature of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station for May 17, underpinned by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and enhanced afternoon solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This alignment has produced the market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs and the short window before the daily high is officially recorded. Minor revisions remain possible if unexpected cloud cover or shifts in the steering flow alter afternoon temperatures, yet current observational trends and climatological norms for mid-May in Tokyo support the prevailing consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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