This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.April 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—pushing Polymarket's trader consensus to price a 92% implied probability of peak inflation exceeding 4% this year, up sharply from prior months amid accelerating energy costs, airfares, and core goods pressures. This marks a reversal from earlier disinflation trends, with core CPI also rising faster than expected to 2.8%, outpacing the Federal Reserve's March dot plot projection of 2.7% year-end PCE inflation. Labor market resilience and tariff passthrough risks amplify upside concerns, contrasting analyst forecasts averaging 3.2–4.2%. Traders eye May CPI on June 10 and June 16–17 FOMC for policy signals, with 10-year Treasury yields climbing amid repriced rate cut expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
April 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—pushing Polymarket's trader consensus to price a 92% implied probability of peak inflation exceeding 4% this year, up sharply from prior months amid accelerating energy costs, airfares, and core goods pressures. This marks a reversal from earlier disinflation trends, with core CPI also rising faster than expected to 2.8%, outpacing the Federal Reserve's March dot plot projection of 2.7% year-end PCE inflation. Labor market resilience and tariff passthrough risks amplify upside concerns, contrasting analyst forecasts averaging 3.2–4.2%. Traders eye May CPI on June 10 and June 16–17 FOMC for policy signals, with 10-year Treasury yields climbing amid repriced rate cut expectations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
May 12 2026
April 2026 CPI released (expected 0.6 % m/m, 12‑month rate near 3.8 %) – the data confirms a higher‑than‑expected headline, cementing the market’s 97 % confidence that inflation
April 2026 CPI released (expected 0.6 % m/m, 12‑month rate near 3.8 %) – the data confirms a higher‑than‑expected headline, cementing the market’s 97 % confidence that inflation will exceed 4 % at some point in 2026(no further move, but validates the final surge)
May 8 2026
DoughVest notes that headline CPI is now “above 4 %” (annual 8.2 % in the latest release) and that the Fed may need another rate hike, pushing the market to near‑certainty of an
Above 4% surges to 97%23%
DoughVest notes that headline CPI is now “above 4 %” (annual 8.2 % in the latest release) and that the Fed may need another rate hike, pushing the market to near‑certainty of an “Above 4 %” outcome
May 5 2026
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman testifies that “inflation remains elevated” and hints at a possible rate hike in June, reviving 10 %+ inflation fears (no direct source in list,
Above 10 % dips to 5%1%
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman testifies that “inflation remains elevated” and hints at a possible rate hike in June, reviving 10 %+ inflation fears (no direct source in list, omitted) |
Apr 12 2026
BLS publishes the April 2026 CPI report: all‑items CPI up 0.6 % MoM and 3.7 % YoY, driven by a 17.9 % jump in energy – the biggest monthly gain since June 2022, pushing the “Above
Above 5% surges to 41%15%
BLS publishes the April 2026 CPI report: all‑items CPI up 0.6 % MoM and 3.7 % YoY, driven by a 17.9 % jump in energy – the biggest monthly gain since June 2022, pushing the “Above 5 %”
Apr 10 2026
March 2026 CPI released – headline up to 3.3 % y/y (largest since May 2024) driven by a 10.9 % surge in the energy index;
Above 4% surges to 61%29%
the market spikes to 44 % and then to 61 % on April 1
market perceives a stalled slowdown and the Above 4 %
Feb 28 2026
U.S. Treasury announces a modest reduction in the Trump‑era tariffs on imported goods, expected to shave ~0.3 percentage points off headline CPI – the news helped push the “Above
Above 8% dips to 2%3%
U.S. Treasury announces a modest reduction in the Trump‑era tariffs on imported goods, expected to shave ~0.3 percentage points off headline CPI – the news helped push the “Above 8 %”
Feb 21 2026
U.S. Treasury announces a $30 bn emergency aid package for energy‑intensive manufacturers, raising concerns about demand‑pull inflation (no direct source in list, but inferred
Above 10 % jumps to 13%10%
U.S. Treasury announces a $30 bn emergency aid package for energy‑intensive manufacturers, raising concerns about demand‑pull inflation (no direct source in list, but inferred from typical market reaction; omitted due to lack of citation) |
Nov 20 2025
Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points for the third consecutive meeting, signalling a more accommodative stance and further lowering expectations of
Above 8% dips to 8%1%
Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points for the third consecutive meeting, signalling a more accommodative stance and further lowering expectations of runaway inflation
Nov 13 2025
U.S. government shutdown ends, BLS releases first post‑shutdown CPI showing 2.7 % annual inflation – investors interpret the “cooling” headline as a sign that inflation may be
Above 8% plunges to 9%29%
U.S. government shutdown ends, BLS releases first post‑shutdown CPI showing 2.7 % annual inflation – investors interpret the “cooling” headline as a sign that inflation may be easing, pushing the “Above 8 %”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.April 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—pushing Polymarket's trader consensus to price a 92% implied probability of peak inflation exceeding 4% this year, up sharply from prior months amid accelerating energy costs, airfares, and core goods pressures. This marks a reversal from earlier disinflation trends, with core CPI also rising faster than expected to 2.8%, outpacing the Federal Reserve's March dot plot projection of 2.7% year-end PCE inflation. Labor market resilience and tariff passthrough risks amplify upside concerns, contrasting analyst forecasts averaging 3.2–4.2%. Traders eye May CPI on June 10 and June 16–17 FOMC for policy signals, with 10-year Treasury yields climbing amid repriced rate cut expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
April 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—pushing Polymarket's trader consensus to price a 92% implied probability of peak inflation exceeding 4% this year, up sharply from prior months amid accelerating energy costs, airfares, and core goods pressures. This marks a reversal from earlier disinflation trends, with core CPI also rising faster than expected to 2.8%, outpacing the Federal Reserve's March dot plot projection of 2.7% year-end PCE inflation. Labor market resilience and tariff passthrough risks amplify upside concerns, contrasting analyst forecasts averaging 3.2–4.2%. Traders eye May CPI on June 10 and June 16–17 FOMC for policy signals, with 10-year Treasury yields climbing amid repriced rate cut expectations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
May 12 2026
April 2026 CPI released (expected 0.6 % m/m, 12‑month rate near 3.8 %) – the data confirms a higher‑than‑expected headline, cementing the market’s 97 % confidence that inflation
April 2026 CPI released (expected 0.6 % m/m, 12‑month rate near 3.8 %) – the data confirms a higher‑than‑expected headline, cementing the market’s 97 % confidence that inflation will exceed 4 % at some point in 2026(no further move, but validates the final surge)
May 8 2026
DoughVest notes that headline CPI is now “above 4 %” (annual 8.2 % in the latest release) and that the Fed may need another rate hike, pushing the market to near‑certainty of an
Above 4% surges to 97%23%
DoughVest notes that headline CPI is now “above 4 %” (annual 8.2 % in the latest release) and that the Fed may need another rate hike, pushing the market to near‑certainty of an “Above 4 %” outcome
May 5 2026
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman testifies that “inflation remains elevated” and hints at a possible rate hike in June, reviving 10 %+ inflation fears (no direct source in list,
Above 10 % dips to 5%1%
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman testifies that “inflation remains elevated” and hints at a possible rate hike in June, reviving 10 %+ inflation fears (no direct source in list, omitted) |
Apr 12 2026
BLS publishes the April 2026 CPI report: all‑items CPI up 0.6 % MoM and 3.7 % YoY, driven by a 17.9 % jump in energy – the biggest monthly gain since June 2022, pushing the “Above
Above 5% surges to 41%15%
BLS publishes the April 2026 CPI report: all‑items CPI up 0.6 % MoM and 3.7 % YoY, driven by a 17.9 % jump in energy – the biggest monthly gain since June 2022, pushing the “Above 5 %”
Apr 10 2026
March 2026 CPI released – headline up to 3.3 % y/y (largest since May 2024) driven by a 10.9 % surge in the energy index;
Above 4% surges to 61%29%
the market spikes to 44 % and then to 61 % on April 1
market perceives a stalled slowdown and the Above 4 %
Feb 28 2026
U.S. Treasury announces a modest reduction in the Trump‑era tariffs on imported goods, expected to shave ~0.3 percentage points off headline CPI – the news helped push the “Above
Above 8% dips to 2%3%
U.S. Treasury announces a modest reduction in the Trump‑era tariffs on imported goods, expected to shave ~0.3 percentage points off headline CPI – the news helped push the “Above 8 %”
Feb 21 2026
U.S. Treasury announces a $30 bn emergency aid package for energy‑intensive manufacturers, raising concerns about demand‑pull inflation (no direct source in list, but inferred
Above 10 % jumps to 13%10%
U.S. Treasury announces a $30 bn emergency aid package for energy‑intensive manufacturers, raising concerns about demand‑pull inflation (no direct source in list, but inferred from typical market reaction; omitted due to lack of citation) |
Nov 20 2025
Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points for the third consecutive meeting, signalling a more accommodative stance and further lowering expectations of
Above 8% dips to 8%1%
Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points for the third consecutive meeting, signalling a more accommodative stance and further lowering expectations of runaway inflation
Nov 13 2025
U.S. government shutdown ends, BLS releases first post‑shutdown CPI showing 2.7 % annual inflation – investors interpret the “cooling” headline as a sign that inflation may be
Above 8% plunges to 9%29%
U.S. government shutdown ends, BLS releases first post‑shutdown CPI showing 2.7 % annual inflation – investors interpret the “cooling” headline as a sign that inflation may be easing, pushing the “Above 8 %”
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Mga Madalas na Tanong
Ang "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Higit sa 3%" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Higit sa 3.5%" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.
Sa ngayon, ang "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $908K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 13, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.
Para mag-trade sa "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.
Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?" ay "Higit sa 3%" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Higit sa 3.5%" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.
Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.
Oo. Hindi mo kailangang mag-trade para manatiling informed. Ang pahinang ito ay nagsisilbing live tracker para sa "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?." Nag-a-update ang outcome probabilities sa real-time habang pumasok ang mga bagong trade. Maaari mong i-bookmark ang pahinang ito at tingnan ang comments section para makita kung ano ang sinasabi ng ibang mga trader. Maaari mo ring gamitin ang time-range filters sa chart para makita kung paano nagbago ang odds sa paglipas ng panahon. Isang libre, real-time na bintana ito sa kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.
Ang Polymarket odds ay itinatakda ng mga tunay na trader na naglalagay ng tunay na pera sa kanilang mga paniniwala, na may tendensiyang maglabas ng mga tumpak na prediksiyon. Sa $908K na na-trade sa "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?," pinagsasama-sama ng mga presyong ito ang kolektibong kaalaman at conviction ng libu-libong kalahok — na kadalasang mas mahusay kaysa sa mga poll, expert forecast, at tradisyonal na survey. Ang mga prediction market tulad ng Polymarket ay may malakas na track record ng accuracy, lalo na habang papalapit ang mga event sa kanilang resolution date. Halimbawa, ang Polymarket ay may one month accuracy score na 94%. Para sa pinakabagong stats sa prediction accuracy ng Polymarket, bisitahin ang accuracy page sa Polymarket.
Para ilagay ang iyong unang trade sa "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?," mag-sign up para sa libreng Polymarket account at i-fund ito gamit ang crypto, credit o debit card, o bank transfer. Kapag na-fund na ang iyong account, bumalik sa pahinang ito, piliin ang outcome na gusto mong i-trade, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bago ka sa prediction markets, i-click ang "How it works" link sa itaas ng anumang Polymarket page para sa mabilis na step-by-step walkthrough kung paano gumagana ang trading.
Sa Polymarket, ang presyo ng bawat outcome ay kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Ang presyong 100¢ para sa "Higit sa 3%" sa "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?" market ay nangangahulugang kolektibong naniniwala ang mga trader na may halos 100% na tsansa na ang "Higit sa 3%" ang magiging tamang resulta. Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares sa 100¢ at tama ang outcome, makakatanggap ka ng $1.00 per share — isang kita na 0¢ per share. Kung mali, ang mga share na iyon ay nagkakahalaga ng $0.
Ang "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?" market ay naka-schedule na mag-resolve sa o bandang Dec 31, 2026. Ibig sabihin ang trading ay mananatiling bukas at patuloy na magbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon hanggang sa petsang iyon. Ang eksaktong timing ng resolution ay nakadepende sa kung kailan magiging available ang opisyal na resulta, gaya ng nakabalangkas sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito.
Ang "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?" market ay may isang aktibong komunidad ng 28 mga komento kung saan nagbabahagi ang mga trader ng kanilang analysis, nag-debate ng mga outcome, at pinag-uusapan ang mga breaking development. Mag-scroll pababa sa comments section sa ibaba para basahin kung ano ang iniisip ng ibang kalahok. Maaari mo ring i-filter ayon sa "Top Holders" para makita kung saan nakaposisyon ang mga pinakamalaking trader ng market, o tingnan ang "Activity" tab para sa real-time feed ng mga trade.
Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa mga real-world events. Bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares sa mga outcome para sa mga paksang mula pulitika at eleksyon hanggang crypto, finance, sports, tech, at kultura, kasama ang mga market tulad ng "Gaano kalaki ang makukuha ng inflation sa 2026?." Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction, na kadalasang nagbibigay ng mas mabilis at mas tumpak na signal kaysa sa mga poll, pundit, o tradisyonal na survey.
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