Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hawkish dissent by Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan underscore persistent divisions over the federal funds rate path amid July PCE inflation holding near 3.7% year-over-year and core measures steady at 3.3%. Traders price the September 15-16 meeting around these dynamics, with the 28.5% implied probability for exactly three dissents reflecting the core hawkish bloc's likely repeat stance while softening July payrolls and mixed upcoming CPI and employment releases create uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents join them. The tight spread between two- and three-dissent outcomes highlights the data-dependent threshold for broader participation, whereas four-plus dissents would require stronger-than-expected inflation or energy-price reacceleration to expand the hawkish coalition before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
0
13%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
0
13%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hawkish dissent by Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan underscore persistent divisions over the federal funds rate path amid July PCE inflation holding near 3.7% year-over-year and core measures steady at 3.3%. Traders price the September 15-16 meeting around these dynamics, with the 28.5% implied probability for exactly three dissents reflecting the core hawkish bloc's likely repeat stance while softening July payrolls and mixed upcoming CPI and employment releases create uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents join them. The tight spread between two- and three-dissent outcomes highlights the data-dependent threshold for broader participation, whereas four-plus dissents would require stronger-than-expected inflation or energy-price reacceleration to expand the hawkish coalition before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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