The Iranian regime's post-conflict consolidation, including leadership transitions after the February 2026 strikes and ongoing emphasis on internal unity amid economic pressures, has reinforced trader expectations that no coup attempt will occur by June 30. Recent regime actions, such as Supreme National Security Council preparations to manage inflation and potential unrest through economic controls and Basij mobilization, along with public appeals for national cohesion, signal effective containment of factional divides within the Revolutionary Guard and clerical structures. With no verified military defections, elite purges, or leadership challenges emerging in the past month, the market reflects broad consensus on the regime's short-term stability despite external sanctions and domestic grievances. Scheduled diplomatic extensions, including the May 15 ceasefire prolongation with Lebanon, further reduce near-term disruption risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
$1,127,881 Vol.
$1,127,881 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Oo
$1,127,881 Vol.
$1,127,881 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Iranian regime's post-conflict consolidation, including leadership transitions after the February 2026 strikes and ongoing emphasis on internal unity amid economic pressures, has reinforced trader expectations that no coup attempt will occur by June 30. Recent regime actions, such as Supreme National Security Council preparations to manage inflation and potential unrest through economic controls and Basij mobilization, along with public appeals for national cohesion, signal effective containment of factional divides within the Revolutionary Guard and clerical structures. With no verified military defections, elite purges, or leadership challenges emerging in the past month, the market reflects broad consensus on the regime's short-term stability despite external sanctions and domestic grievances. Scheduled diplomatic extensions, including the May 15 ceasefire prolongation with Lebanon, further reduce near-term disruption risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,127,881Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Iranian regime's post-conflict consolidation, including leadership transitions after the February 2026 strikes and ongoing emphasis on internal unity amid economic pressures, has reinforced trader expectations that no coup attempt will occur by June 30. Recent regime actions, such as Supreme National Security Council preparations to manage inflation and potential unrest through economic controls and Basij mobilization, along with public appeals for national cohesion, signal effective containment of factional divides within the Revolutionary Guard and clerical structures. With no verified military defections, elite purges, or leadership challenges emerging in the past month, the market reflects broad consensus on the regime's short-term stability despite external sanctions and domestic grievances. Scheduled diplomatic extensions, including the May 15 ceasefire prolongation with Lebanon, further reduce near-term disruption risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,127,881Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Iranian regime's post-conflict consolidation, including leadership transitions after the February 2026 strikes and ongoing emphasis on internal unity amid economic pressures, has reinforced trader expectations that no coup attempt will occur by June 30. Recent regime actions, such as Supreme National Security Council preparations to manage inflation and potential unrest through economic controls and Basij mobilization, along with public appeals for national cohesion, signal effective containment of factional divides within the Revolutionary Guard and clerical structures. With no verified military defections, elite purges, or leadership challenges emerging in the past month, the market reflects broad consensus on the regime's short-term stability despite external sanctions and domestic grievances. Scheduled diplomatic extensions, including the May 15 ceasefire prolongation with Lebanon, further reduce near-term disruption risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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