Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with figures ranging from 0.2% to 1.3% in September surveys. A crowded centrist space, including rising parties such as Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot and the Bennett-Lapid alliance, has fragmented the vote and limited gains for Gantz's list despite efforts at mergers and emphasis on security and a broad Zionist government. Ongoing bloc competition between Netanyahu supporters and opposition parties, combined with undecided voters and turnout patterns, keeps the party's projected share tightly contested in the lowest ranges. Late campaign shifts or alliances could still alter its final result.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update<0.75% 40%
1.25-2% 38%
2-3.25% 32%
0.75-1.25% 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
40%
0.75-1.25%
49%
1.25-2%
38%
2-3.25%
32%
3.25%+
17%
<0.75% 40%
1.25-2% 38%
2-3.25% 32%
0.75-1.25% 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
$34 Vol.
40%
0.75-1.25%
$33 Vol.
49%
1.25-2%
$15 Vol.
38%
2-3.25%
$15 Vol.
32%
3.25%+
$170 Vol.
17%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with figures ranging from 0.2% to 1.3% in September surveys. A crowded centrist space, including rising parties such as Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot and the Bennett-Lapid alliance, has fragmented the vote and limited gains for Gantz's list despite efforts at mergers and emphasis on security and a broad Zionist government. Ongoing bloc competition between Netanyahu supporters and opposition parties, combined with undecided voters and turnout patterns, keeps the party's projected share tightly contested in the lowest ranges. Late campaign shifts or alliances could still alter its final result.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$267Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with figures ranging from 0.2% to 1.3% in September surveys. A crowded centrist space, including rising parties such as Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot and the Bennett-Lapid alliance, has fragmented the vote and limited gains for Gantz's list despite efforts at mergers and emphasis on security and a broad Zionist government. Ongoing bloc competition between Netanyahu supporters and opposition parties, combined with undecided voters and turnout patterns, keeps the party's projected share tightly contested in the lowest ranges. Late campaign shifts or alliances could still alter its final result.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$267Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with figures ranging from 0.2% to 1.3% in September surveys. A crowded centrist space, including rising parties such as Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot and the Bennett-Lapid alliance, has fragmented the vote and limited gains for Gantz's list despite efforts at mergers and emphasis on security and a broad Zionist government. Ongoing bloc competition between Netanyahu supporters and opposition parties, combined with undecided voters and turnout patterns, keeps the party's projected share tightly contested in the lowest ranges. Late campaign shifts or alliances could still alter its final result.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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