**The account @khamenei_ir, now posting statements from the martyred former Supreme Leader, maintains low posting volume through a media-managed feed focused on historical quotes, religious commemorations, and occasional archival content rather than real-time commentary.** Recent activity shows roughly one post every few days in early-to-mid August 2026, with examples on the 13th, 11th, and earlier dates, aligning with a pattern of sporadic rather than daily output. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic Iranian developments in the immediate window have prompted accelerated activity, keeping the probability of fewer than five posts during August 14–21 at 73 percent. Higher buckets remain thin because the account's operational style has not shifted toward frequent updates even amid regional tensions. Traders price this range based on consistent historical cadence from the verified handle and the absence of catalysts that would drive a surge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKhamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
<5 73%
5-9 22%
10-14 5%
15-19 <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 21, 2026
<5
73%
5-9
22%
10-14
5%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 73%
5-9 22%
10-14 5%
15-19 <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 21, 2026
<5
$3,858 Vol.
73%
5-9
$682 Vol.
22%
10-14
$410 Vol.
5%
15-19
$297 Vol.
1%
20-24
$187 Vol.
1%
25-29
$137 Vol.
1%
30-34
$137 Vol.
1%
35-39
$147 Vol.
1%
40-44
$151 Vol.
1%
45-49
$111 Vol.
1%
50-54
$159 Vol.
1%
55-59
$264 Vol.
1%
60+
$159 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The account @khamenei_ir, now posting statements from the martyred former Supreme Leader, maintains low posting volume through a media-managed feed focused on historical quotes, religious commemorations, and occasional archival content rather than real-time commentary.** Recent activity shows roughly one post every few days in early-to-mid August 2026, with examples on the 13th, 11th, and earlier dates, aligning with a pattern of sporadic rather than daily output. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic Iranian developments in the immediate window have prompted accelerated activity, keeping the probability of fewer than five posts during August 14–21 at 73 percent. Higher buckets remain thin because the account's operational style has not shifted toward frequent updates even amid regional tensions. Traders price this range based on consistent historical cadence from the verified handle and the absence of catalysts that would drive a surge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$6,694Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The account @khamenei_ir, now posting statements from the martyred former Supreme Leader, maintains low posting volume through a media-managed feed focused on historical quotes, religious commemorations, and occasional archival content rather than real-time commentary.** Recent activity shows roughly one post every few days in early-to-mid August 2026, with examples on the 13th, 11th, and earlier dates, aligning with a pattern of sporadic rather than daily output. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic Iranian developments in the immediate window have prompted accelerated activity, keeping the probability of fewer than five posts during August 14–21 at 73 percent. Higher buckets remain thin because the account's operational style has not shifted toward frequent updates even amid regional tensions. Traders price this range based on consistent historical cadence from the verified handle and the absence of catalysts that would drive a surge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$6,694Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The account @khamenei_ir, now posting statements from the martyred former Supreme Leader, maintains low posting volume through a media-managed feed focused on historical quotes, religious commemorations, and occasional archival content rather than real-time commentary.** Recent activity shows roughly one post every few days in early-to-mid August 2026, with examples on the 13th, 11th, and earlier dates, aligning with a pattern of sporadic rather than daily output. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic Iranian developments in the immediate window have prompted accelerated activity, keeping the probability of fewer than five posts during August 14–21 at 73 percent. Higher buckets remain thin because the account's operational style has not shifted toward frequent updates even amid regional tensions. Traders price this range based on consistent historical cadence from the verified handle and the absence of catalysts that would drive a surge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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