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icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Domingos Sávio 24%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 24%

Gustavo Galassi 24%

Carlos Viana 18%

Polymarket
BAGO

Domingos Sávio 24%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 24%

Gustavo Galassi 24%

Carlos Viana 18%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$46 Vol.

24%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$46 Vol.

24%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$46 Vol.

24%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$46 Vol.

17%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$46 Vol.

13%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$75 Vol.

13%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$66 Vol.

10%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$86 Vol.

9%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$46 Vol.

8%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$46 Vol.

8%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$46 Vol.

8%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$119 Vol.

8%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$46 Vol.

24%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$66 Vol.

30%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of over 15 registered candidates for Minas Gerais' two Senate seats has kept implied probabilities for first place tightly clustered near 50 percent for leading names, with Marília Campos (PT) at 48.5 percent and others such as Ana Luiza (UP) and Juiz Ramon Moreira trailing in the low-to-mid 30s or below. Recent party conventions and candidate launches through July and early August 2026 have solidified lineups without producing a dominant figure, as vote intentions remain split across PT, PL, PSD, PP, and smaller parties. Polling shows the top contender below 20 percent support, underscoring how turnout patterns, regional strongholds, and last-minute alliances could shift margins before the October vote. Traders price in this dispersion and the absence of decisive late momentum.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$960
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of over 15 registered candidates for Minas Gerais' two Senate seats has kept implied probabilities for first place tightly clustered near 50 percent for leading names, with Marília Campos (PT) at 48.5 percent and others such as Ana Luiza (UP) and Juiz Ramon Moreira trailing in the low-to-mid 30s or below. Recent party conventions and candidate launches through July and early August 2026 have solidified lineups without producing a dominant figure, as vote intentions remain split across PT, PL, PSD, PP, and smaller parties. Polling shows the top contender below 20 percent support, underscoring how turnout patterns, regional strongholds, and last-minute alliances could shift margins before the October vote. Traders price in this dispersion and the absence of decisive late momentum.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$960
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

38%
icon for Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

48%
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

88%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Marília Campos" sa 30%, sinusundan ng "Domingos Sávio" sa 25%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 30¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 30% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" ay "Marília Campos" sa 30%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 30% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Domingos Sávio" sa 25%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.