Skip to main content
icon for Susunod na Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Pransiya
Halalan·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Susunod na Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Pransiya

icon for Susunod na Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Pransiya
Halalan·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Susunod na Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Pransiya

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$72,962,640 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$72,962,640 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$898,401 Vol.

23%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$707,900 Vol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$558,371 Vol.

11%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$527,900 Vol.

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,208,267 Vol.

5%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,158,812 Vol.

5%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,022,979 Vol.

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,243,373 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,368,457 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$842,989 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,306,565 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,482,638 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$901,510 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$741,778 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,376,542 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,271,087 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,098,176 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$2,638,180 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$755,526 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,732,541 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,197,098 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$3,590,403 Vol.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,849,473 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,567,487 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,133,290 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,167,161 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,071,131 Vol.

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,835,051 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,588,110 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,366,858 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,709,318 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,008,872 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$3,298,017 Vol.

1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$2,532,687 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,408,078 Vol.

1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$3,798,306 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The tight trader consensus around Jordan Bardella and Édouard Philippe for the 2027 French presidential election stems primarily from Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal appeal, with a July 7 court ruling that could uphold her five-year office ban and clear the path for her National Rally protégé Bardella. Philippe’s recent campaign launch as the center-right alternative has positioned him as the strongest potential runoff opponent, narrowing the gap in polls between the two. A crowded field of left-wing, centrist, and other right-wing contenders continues to split opposition votes, sustaining the close first-round pricing while highlighting the runoff dynamics that could shift if the appeal outcome or summer polling trends consolidate support for either frontrunner.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$72,962,640
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The tight trader consensus around Jordan Bardella and Édouard Philippe for the 2027 French presidential election stems primarily from Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal appeal, with a July 7 court ruling that could uphold her five-year office ban and clear the path for her National Rally protégé Bardella. Philippe’s recent campaign launch as the center-right alternative has positioned him as the strongest potential runoff opponent, narrowing the gap in polls between the two. A crowded field of left-wing, centrist, and other right-wing contenders continues to split opposition votes, sustaining the close first-round pricing while highlighting the runoff dynamics that could shift if the appeal outcome or summer polling trends consolidate support for either frontrunner.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$72,962,640
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Susunod na Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Pransiya" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 36 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jordan Bardella" sa 23%, sinusundan ng "Édouard Philippe" sa 20%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 23¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 23% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Susunod na Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Pransiya" ay naka-generate ng $73 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 13, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Susunod na Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Pransiya," i-browse ang 36 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Susunod na Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Pransiya" ay "Jordan Bardella" sa 23%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 23% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Édouard Philippe" sa 20%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Susunod na Halalan sa Pagkapangulo ng Pransiya" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.