Skip to main content
icon for Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

icon for Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

Keiko Fujimori 99.4%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$2,553,263 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 99.4%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$2,553,263 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$937,378 Vol.

99%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$386,271 Vol.

1%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$219,739 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$195,412 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$204,210 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$23,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$20,542 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$39,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$26,878 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$19,821 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$24,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$19,372 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$27,488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$41,515 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$16,997 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$23,764 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$13,835 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$17,108 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$159,265 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$106,007 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$10,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$8,790 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$11,193 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori's commanding trader consensus as first-round plurality winner in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election stems from ONPE tallies exceeding 99.7%—as of May 12—showing her at approximately 17%, well ahead of rivals in a fragmented 35-candidate field. Her conservative Fuerza Popular base consolidated support amid high abstention and null votes, echoing her strong pre-election polling despite three prior runner-up finishes. Recent Jurados Electorales Especiales proclamations and ongoing audits have solidified this lead, with JNE expected to confirm by mid-May ahead of the June 7 runoff. Disputes rage over the razor-thin second-place contest between Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga, including unproven fraud claims, but Fujimori's position faces negligible risk barring unprecedented legal reversals or irregularities in the scant remaining ballots.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$2,553,263
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori's commanding trader consensus as first-round plurality winner in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election stems from ONPE tallies exceeding 99.7%—as of May 12—showing her at approximately 17%, well ahead of rivals in a fragmented 35-candidate field. Her conservative Fuerza Popular base consolidated support amid high abstention and null votes, echoing her strong pre-election polling despite three prior runner-up finishes. Recent Jurados Electorales Especiales proclamations and ongoing audits have solidified this lead, with JNE expected to confirm by mid-May ahead of the June 7 runoff. Disputes rage over the razor-thin second-place contest between Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga, including unproven fraud claims, but Fujimori's position faces negligible risk barring unprecedented legal reversals or irregularities in the scant remaining ballots.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$2,553,263
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 23 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Keiko Fujimori" sa 99%, sinusundan ng "Rafael López Aliaga" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 99¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner" ay naka-generate ng $2.6 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner," i-browse ang 23 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner" ay "Keiko Fujimori" sa 99%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Rafael López Aliaga" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.