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icon for Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
Politika·Brazil

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
Politika·Brazil

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place

Marcelo Crivella 83%

Luciano Mattos 80%

Michelly Xavier 78%

Carlos Portinho 27%

Polymarket
BAGO

Marcelo Crivella 83%

Luciano Mattos 80%

Michelly Xavier 78%

Carlos Portinho 27%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$67 Vol.

83%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$67 Vol.

80%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$67 Vol.

78%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$67 Vol.

27%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$67 Vol.

27%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$67 Vol.

27%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$67 Vol.

26%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$67 Vol.

25%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$67 Vol.

25%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$67 Vol.

24%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$67 Vol.

24%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$67 Vol.

23%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$67 Vol.

22%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$67 Vol.

21%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$67 Vol.

20%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$87 Vol.

26%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The withdrawal of leading contender Flávio Bolsonaro to pursue the presidency has left Rio de Janeiro's October 2026 Senate contest fragmented among more than two dozen declared and potential candidates. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with top names such as Vinicius Benevides, Paula Falcão, Helio Secco, and others clustered in the low-to-mid 20s percent range and no single figure exceeding 30 percent implied probability for first place. Recent polling remains sparse since July, showing Benedita da Silva (PT) ahead for one seat while the second remains open among center-right and right-leaning options including Marcelo Crivella, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho. The multi-seat electoral system, combined with high voter indecision and limited late-summer surveys, sustains the tight positioning. Fresh polling releases, major party endorsements, or televised debates in the final weeks could consolidate support and widen gaps among the pack.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,087
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The withdrawal of leading contender Flávio Bolsonaro to pursue the presidency has left Rio de Janeiro's October 2026 Senate contest fragmented among more than two dozen declared and potential candidates. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with top names such as Vinicius Benevides, Paula Falcão, Helio Secco, and others clustered in the low-to-mid 20s percent range and no single figure exceeding 30 percent implied probability for first place. Recent polling remains sparse since July, showing Benedita da Silva (PT) ahead for one seat while the second remains open among center-right and right-leaning options including Marcelo Crivella, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho. The multi-seat electoral system, combined with high voter indecision and limited late-summer surveys, sustains the tight positioning. Fresh polling releases, major party endorsements, or televised debates in the final weeks could consolidate support and widen gaps among the pack.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,087
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Luiz Eugenio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

Will Luiz Eugenio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

28%
icon for Will Ric Jones win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Ric Jones win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

23%
icon for Will Zenaide Maia win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Zenaide Maia win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

42%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 16 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Marcelo Crivella" sa 42%, sinusundan ng "Luciano Mattos" sa 40%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 42¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 42% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place," i-browse ang 16 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place" ay "Marcelo Crivella" sa 42%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 42% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Luciano Mattos" sa 40%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.