United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma elections through incumbency advantages, institutional control of the mixed electoral system, and extensive state media access, which together ensure a supermajority of seats regardless of exact vote shares around 40-50 percent in recent polling. Preparations have emphasized pro-war candidates and veterans on party lists while opposition groups face registration barriers, reduced airtime, and legal restrictions, such as the Supreme Court barring Yabloko. The Kremlin-aligned "systemic opposition" parties poll too low to threaten the lead. Realistic shifts would require major late developments like sharp economic deterioration, significant military reversals, or leadership changes that alter turnout or elite cohesion before voting concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUnited Russia (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$3,162,829 Vol.
$3,162,829 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
United Russia (ER)
98%
Yabloko
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
<1%
New People (NL)
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
United Russia (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$3,162,829 Vol.
$3,162,829 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$792,023 Vol.
98%
Yabloko
$30,760 Vol.
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$203,597 Vol.
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$159,566 Vol.
<1%
New People (NL)
$135,069 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$735,699 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma elections through incumbency advantages, institutional control of the mixed electoral system, and extensive state media access, which together ensure a supermajority of seats regardless of exact vote shares around 40-50 percent in recent polling. Preparations have emphasized pro-war candidates and veterans on party lists while opposition groups face registration barriers, reduced airtime, and legal restrictions, such as the Supreme Court barring Yabloko. The Kremlin-aligned "systemic opposition" parties poll too low to threaten the lead. Realistic shifts would require major late developments like sharp economic deterioration, significant military reversals, or leadership changes that alter turnout or elite cohesion before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,162,829Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma elections through incumbency advantages, institutional control of the mixed electoral system, and extensive state media access, which together ensure a supermajority of seats regardless of exact vote shares around 40-50 percent in recent polling. Preparations have emphasized pro-war candidates and veterans on party lists while opposition groups face registration barriers, reduced airtime, and legal restrictions, such as the Supreme Court barring Yabloko. The Kremlin-aligned "systemic opposition" parties poll too low to threaten the lead. Realistic shifts would require major late developments like sharp economic deterioration, significant military reversals, or leadership changes that alter turnout or elite cohesion before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,162,829Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma elections through incumbency advantages, institutional control of the mixed electoral system, and extensive state media access, which together ensure a supermajority of seats regardless of exact vote shares around 40-50 percent in recent polling. Preparations have emphasized pro-war candidates and veterans on party lists while opposition groups face registration barriers, reduced airtime, and legal restrictions, such as the Supreme Court barring Yabloko. The Kremlin-aligned "systemic opposition" parties poll too low to threaten the lead. Realistic shifts would require major late developments like sharp economic deterioration, significant military reversals, or leadership changes that alter turnout or elite cohesion before voting concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
84%
Makakakuha ba ng pinakamaraming puwesto ang United Russia (ER) sa susunod na halalang parliyamento ng Russia?
74%
Oo
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