Mike Kennedy’s decisive victory at the Utah Republican State Convention in late April, where he captured nearly 79 percent of delegate support against multiple challengers, has reinforced trader confidence in a Republican hold on the district. Court-ordered redistricting preserved a structurally conservative partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins exceeding 30 points, while Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces a general-election matchup rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The resulting 90.5 percent implied probability for the Republican Party captures broad consensus on limited upside for Democrats absent an unforeseen national shift or late-breaking development before November 3, 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$15,038 Vol.
$15,038 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,038 Vol.
$15,038 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,489 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy’s decisive victory at the Utah Republican State Convention in late April, where he captured nearly 79 percent of delegate support against multiple challengers, has reinforced trader confidence in a Republican hold on the district. Court-ordered redistricting preserved a structurally conservative partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins exceeding 30 points, while Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces a general-election matchup rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The resulting 90.5 percent implied probability for the Republican Party captures broad consensus on limited upside for Democrats absent an unforeseen national shift or late-breaking development before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$15,038Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy’s decisive victory at the Utah Republican State Convention in late April, where he captured nearly 79 percent of delegate support against multiple challengers, has reinforced trader confidence in a Republican hold on the district. Court-ordered redistricting preserved a structurally conservative partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins exceeding 30 points, while Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces a general-election matchup rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The resulting 90.5 percent implied probability for the Republican Party captures broad consensus on limited upside for Democrats absent an unforeseen national shift or late-breaking development before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,038Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Kennedy’s decisive victory at the Utah Republican State Convention in late April, where he captured nearly 79 percent of delegate support against multiple challengers, has reinforced trader confidence in a Republican hold on the district. Court-ordered redistricting preserved a structurally conservative partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins exceeding 30 points, while Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces a general-election matchup rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The resulting 90.5 percent implied probability for the Republican Party captures broad consensus on limited upside for Democrats absent an unforeseen national shift or late-breaking development before November 3, 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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