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Halalan·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Halalan·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Kareem Allam 42%

Ken Sim 34%

Pete Fry 15.3%

William Azaroff 5.2%

Polymarket

$67,306 Vol.

Kareem Allam 42%

Ken Sim 34%

Pete Fry 15.3%

William Azaroff 5.2%

Polymarket

$67,306 Vol.

icon for Kareem Allam

Kareem Allam

$20,823 Vol.

42%

icon for Ken Sim

Ken Sim

$13,183 Vol.

34%

icon for Pete Fry

Pete Fry

$11,953 Vol.

15%

icon for William Azaroff

William Azaroff

$3,871 Vol.

5%

icon for John Coupar

John Coupar

$2,840 Vol.

2%

icon for Colleen Hardwick

Colleen Hardwick

$2,114 Vol.

1%

icon for Rebecca Bligh

Rebecca Bligh

$2,148 Vol.

1%

icon for Sean Orr

Sean Orr

$1,723 Vol.

1%

icon for Tim Louis

Tim Louis

$4,582 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amanda Burrows

Amanda Burrows

$1,420 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kirk LaPointe

Kirk LaPointe

$1,413 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Harding

Fred Harding

$1,235 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam leads Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral race as the Vancouver Liberals nominee and former chief of staff to incumbent Ken Sim, with traders assigning him a 41.5% implied probability amid a fragmented field. Progressive parties including the Greens, COPE, and OneCity formalized a candidate-limiting agreement in mid-April to reduce vote splitting on the left, while Sim seeks re-election under ABC Vancouver after his 2022 majority. Allam's bid draws support from voters seeking change from the current administration, yet Sim retains a base among those favoring continuity on housing and development issues. The presence of additional contenders such as Pete Fry and Rebecca Bligh keeps the outcome fluid, with any consolidation of progressive or moderate support likely to shift trader consensus before election day.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$67,306
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 17, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam leads Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral race as the Vancouver Liberals nominee and former chief of staff to incumbent Ken Sim, with traders assigning him a 41.5% implied probability amid a fragmented field. Progressive parties including the Greens, COPE, and OneCity formalized a candidate-limiting agreement in mid-April to reduce vote splitting on the left, while Sim seeks re-election under ABC Vancouver after his 2022 majority. Allam's bid draws support from voters seeking change from the current administration, yet Sim retains a base among those favoring continuity on housing and development issues. The presence of additional contenders such as Pete Fry and Rebecca Bligh keeps the outcome fluid, with any consolidation of progressive or moderate support likely to shift trader consensus before election day.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$67,306
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 17, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Kareem Allam" sa 42%, sinusundan ng "Ken Sim" sa 34%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 42¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 42% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $67.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 2, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" ay "Kareem Allam" sa 42%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 42% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ken Sim" sa 34%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.