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icon for Aling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?
Halalan·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Aling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?

icon for Aling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?
Halalan·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Aling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?

United Russia (ER) 61%

New People (NL) 30.3%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 5.5%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 3.0%

Polymarket

$8,251,398 Vol.

United Russia (ER) 61%

New People (NL) 30.3%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 5.5%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 3.0%

Polymarket

$8,251,398 Vol.

icon for United Russia (ER)

United Russia (ER)

$2,154,265 Vol.

61%

icon for New People (NL)

New People (NL)

$1,062,297 Vol.

30%

icon for Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

$2,276,734 Vol.

6%

icon for Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$658,279 Vol.

3%

icon for A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$574,590 Vol.

1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$942,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Civic Platform (GP)

Civic Platform (GP)

$583,161 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in preparations for the September 2026 State Duma elections through its incumbency advantages, extensive administrative resources, and strong performance in single-mandate districts that historically deliver the bulk of seats. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows mixed signals for second place, with New People occasionally reaching double digits by attracting younger and middle-class voters, yet Kremlin-aligned strategies and electronic voting expansions continue to favor the ruling party’s path to a supermajority among the 450 total seats. The remaining systemic parties face structural limits that keep their projected seat gains low, consistent with the current trader consensus favoring United Russia while assigning New People a notable but secondary chance amid ongoing campaign adjustments.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$8,251,398
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in preparations for the September 2026 State Duma elections through its incumbency advantages, extensive administrative resources, and strong performance in single-mandate districts that historically deliver the bulk of seats. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows mixed signals for second place, with New People occasionally reaching double digits by attracting younger and middle-class voters, yet Kremlin-aligned strategies and electronic voting expansions continue to favor the ruling party’s path to a supermajority among the 450 total seats. The remaining systemic parties face structural limits that keep their projected seat gains low, consistent with the current trader consensus favoring United Russia while assigning New People a notable but secondary chance amid ongoing campaign adjustments.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$8,251,398
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Aling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "United Russia (ER)" sa 61%, sinusundan ng "New People (NL)" sa 30%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 61¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 61% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Aling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?" ay naka-generate ng $8.3 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 7, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Aling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Aling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?" ay "United Russia (ER)" sa 61%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 61% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "New People (NL)" sa 30%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Aling partido ang makakakuha ng karamihan sa mga upuan sa Halalan ng Parlyamentaryo ng Russia?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.