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icon for Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?

icon for Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?

$662,993 Vol.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$662,993 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$42,241 Vol.

74%

Xavier Becerra

$14,026 Vol.

68%

Tom Steyer

$26,279 Vol.

51%

Matt Mahan

$23,136 Vol.

7%

Javen Allen

$1,161 Vol.

5%

Chad Bianco

$34,432 Vol.

4%

Jimmy Parker

$1,453 Vol.

3%

Kyle Langford

$11,755 Vol.

3%

Katie Porter

$11,692 Vol.

2%

Ryan Tillman

$1,991 Vol.

2%

Thunder Parley

$53,760 Vol.

2%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$13,394 Vol.

2%

Ché Ahn

$18,442 Vol.

2%

Daniel Mercuri

$10,772 Vol.

2%

Ian Calderon

$114,143 Vol.

2%

Ethan Agarwal

$3,522 Vol.

1%

David Thelen

$1,327 Vol.

1%

Zoltan Istvan

$12,280 Vol.

1%

Betty Yee

$5,090 Vol.

1%

Raji Rab

$7,425 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$42,159 Vol.

1%

Carolina Buhler

$8,811 Vol.

1%

Leonard Jackson

$3,821 Vol.

1%

Butch Ware

$8,550 Vol.

1%

Derek Grasty

$23,467 Vol.

1%

Eric Swalwell

$73,919 Vol.

1%

Sophia Brink

$37,863 Vol.

1%

David Serpa

$4,924 Vol.

1%

Nicholas Thompson

$7,072 Vol.

1%

Ramsey Robinson

$4,581 Vol.

1%

Tony Thurmond

$12,064 Vol.

1%

Elaine Culotti

$525 Vol.

1%

Dylan Colbert

$14,920 Vol.

1%

Leo Zacky

$6,433 Vol.

1%

Nicki Minaj

$4,055 Vol.

1%

Sharifah Hardie

$1,506 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's top-two primary on June 2 has created a competitive environment in which a fragmented Democratic field risks splitting votes and allowing two Republicans to advance. Recent Emerson polling shows former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra leading with 19 percent, followed closely by Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer at 17 percent each, with Chad Bianco, Katie Porter, and others trailing. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal after allegations has begun consolidating Democratic support, while President Trump's endorsement of Hilton may help unify Republican voters behind one candidate. The economy and housing affordability remain top voter concerns as mail-in voting starts and additional debates occur before the June ballot.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$662,993
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's top-two primary on June 2 has created a competitive environment in which a fragmented Democratic field risks splitting votes and allowing two Republicans to advance. Recent Emerson polling shows former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra leading with 19 percent, followed closely by Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer at 17 percent each, with Chad Bianco, Katie Porter, and others trailing. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal after allegations has begun consolidating Democratic support, while President Trump's endorsement of Hilton may help unify Republican voters behind one candidate. The economy and housing affordability remain top voter concerns as mail-in voting starts and additional debates occur before the June ballot.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$662,993
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 36 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Steve Hilton" sa 74%, sinusundan ng "Xavier Becerra" sa 68%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 74¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?" ay naka-generate ng $663K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 4, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?," i-browse ang 36 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?" ay "Steve Hilton" sa 74%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Xavier Becerra" sa 68%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.