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NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Trump

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Alex Bores 46%

Micah Lasher 44%

Jack Schlossberg 14%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$363,225 Vol.

Alex Bores 46%

Micah Lasher 44%

Jack Schlossberg 14%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$363,225 Vol.

Alex Bores

$8,315 Vol.

46%

Micah Lasher

$17,268 Vol.

44%

Jack Schlossberg

$12,167 Vol.

14%

Cameron Kasky

$5,967 Vol.

<1%

Keith Powers

$6,124 Vol.

<1%

Liz Krueger

$58,696 Vol.

<1%

Erik Bottcher

$4,521 Vol.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$4,774 Vol.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$7,418 Vol.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$4,244 Vol.

<1%

Brad Lander

$80,895 Vol.

<1%

Lina Khan

$41,371 Vol.

<1%

Julie Menin

$25,361 Vol.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$10,172 Vol.

<1%

Liam Elkind

$4,367 Vol.

<1%

Scott Stringer

$58,778 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Cuomo

$4,821 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$4,304 Vol.

<1%

George Conway

$3,664 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the Democratic primary for New York's 12th Congressional District on June 23, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, driven by their geographic bases on the Upper East Side and Upper West Side respectively. Nadler's endorsement of Lasher and support from major donors like Michael Bloomberg have bolstered his position, while Bores has drawn attention through legislative priorities such as AI regulation and faces opposition spending. Jack Schlossberg adds name recognition but trails in implied probabilities amid a crowded field. Older voters, projected to comprise 65-75% of turnout, and recent candidate forums on issues like foreign policy have kept the race competitive, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum and district-specific turnout patterns in this open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$363,225
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the Democratic primary for New York's 12th Congressional District on June 23, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, driven by their geographic bases on the Upper East Side and Upper West Side respectively. Nadler's endorsement of Lasher and support from major donors like Michael Bloomberg have bolstered his position, while Bores has drawn attention through legislative priorities such as AI regulation and faces opposition spending. Jack Schlossberg adds name recognition but trails in implied probabilities amid a crowded field. Older voters, projected to comprise 65-75% of turnout, and recent candidate forums on issues like foreign policy have kept the race competitive, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum and district-specific turnout patterns in this open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$363,225
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 19 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Alex Bores" sa 46%, sinusundan ng "Micah Lasher" sa 44%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 46¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 46% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $363.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 21, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 19 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Alex Bores" sa 46%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 46% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Micah Lasher" sa 44%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.