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icon for Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
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Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

icon for Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
Halalan·Trump

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Scott Wiener 94%

Saikat Chakrabarti 7.8%

Connie Chan 2.5%

Cole Bettles <1%

Polymarket

$357,865 Vol.

Scott Wiener 94%

Saikat Chakrabarti 7.8%

Connie Chan 2.5%

Cole Bettles <1%

Polymarket

$357,865 Vol.

Scott Wiener

$39,987 Vol.

86%

Saikat Chakrabarti

$23,596 Vol.

8%

Connie Chan

$206,212 Vol.

2%

Cole Bettles

$15,637 Vol.

<1%

Darren Helton

$19,351 Vol.

<1%

Jingchao Xiong

$41,386 Vol.

<1%

David Ganezer

$11,696 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senator Scott Wiener holds a commanding position in the race to succeed retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi in California's 11th congressional district, where the June 2 top-two primary will determine general election contenders. Recent polling, including a San Francisco Chronicle survey, shows Wiener leading across nearly all demographic groups with broad support from party insiders and endorsements from the California Democratic Party. His established record in state senate housing and progressive legislation has contributed to this trader consensus. Saikat Chakrabarti and Connie Chan remain distant in polling and fundraising, splitting limited progressive and labor backing without closing the gap. The safe Democratic seat and top-two format further reinforce expectations for Wiener to advance as the top finisher.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$357,865
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 24, 2025, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senator Scott Wiener holds a commanding position in the race to succeed retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi in California's 11th congressional district, where the June 2 top-two primary will determine general election contenders. Recent polling, including a San Francisco Chronicle survey, shows Wiener leading across nearly all demographic groups with broad support from party insiders and endorsements from the California Democratic Party. His established record in state senate housing and progressive legislation has contributed to this trader consensus. Saikat Chakrabarti and Connie Chan remain distant in polling and fundraising, splitting limited progressive and labor backing without closing the gap. The safe Democratic seat and top-two format further reinforce expectations for Wiener to advance as the top finisher.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$357,865
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 24, 2025, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Scott Wiener" sa 86%, sinusundan ng "Saikat Chakrabarti" sa 8%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 86¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 86% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?" ay naka-generate ng $357.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 24, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?" ay "Scott Wiener" sa 86%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 86% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Saikat Chakrabarti" sa 8%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.