Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff voters will decide between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, with early voting underway from May 18–22, anchoring trader consensus at 97.1% against Paxton dropping out. Recent scorched-earth attack ads and fundraising tallies reflect Paxton's sustained campaign momentum, building on his March primary survival despite over $60 million in establishment opposition spending. Absent withdrawal signals or fulfillment of his prior conditional exit tied to SAVE Act passage, and with President Trump's endorsement still pending post-deadline, markets dismiss near-term exit risks. Realistic disruptors remain a strong Trump backing for Cornyn, fresh legal challenges from Paxton's ongoing AG tenure, or unforeseen health events.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Ken Paxton drop out?
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff voters will decide between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, with early voting underway from May 18–22, anchoring trader consensus at 97.1% against Paxton dropping out. Recent scorched-earth attack ads and fundraising tallies reflect Paxton's sustained campaign momentum, building on his March primary survival despite over $60 million in establishment opposition spending. Absent withdrawal signals or fulfillment of his prior conditional exit tied to SAVE Act passage, and with President Trump's endorsement still pending post-deadline, markets dismiss near-term exit risks. Realistic disruptors remain a strong Trump backing for Cornyn, fresh legal challenges from Paxton's ongoing AG tenure, or unforeseen health events.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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