Mandela Barnes holds the lead in the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor because his prior statewide runs as lieutenant governor and 2022 Senate candidate give him unmatched name recognition and donor networks across the state. Francesca Hong has closed ground through targeted progressive outreach, including recent national endorsements and events that highlight grassroots organizing, while Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez has drawn scrutiny for questioning rivals’ general-election viability in April statements. With the August 11 primary still months away and most voters undecided in early polling, traders appear to weigh Barnes’ structural advantages against Hong’s momentum in a crowded field where smaller candidates show limited traction.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Mandela Barnes 50%
Francesca Hong 32.4%
Sara Rodriguez 15%
David Crowley 2.8%
$56,986 Vol.
$56,986 Vol.
Mandela Barnes
50%
Francesca Hong
32%
Sara Rodriguez
15%
David Crowley
3%
Joel Brennan
1%
Chris Larson
1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Mandela Barnes 50%
Francesca Hong 32.4%
Sara Rodriguez 15%
David Crowley 2.8%
$56,986 Vol.
$56,986 Vol.
Mandela Barnes
50%
Francesca Hong
32%
Sara Rodriguez
15%
David Crowley
3%
Joel Brennan
1%
Chris Larson
1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mandela Barnes holds the lead in the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor because his prior statewide runs as lieutenant governor and 2022 Senate candidate give him unmatched name recognition and donor networks across the state. Francesca Hong has closed ground through targeted progressive outreach, including recent national endorsements and events that highlight grassroots organizing, while Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez has drawn scrutiny for questioning rivals’ general-election viability in April statements. With the August 11 primary still months away and most voters undecided in early polling, traders appear to weigh Barnes’ structural advantages against Hong’s momentum in a crowded field where smaller candidates show limited traction.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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