Trump's second-term approval ratings have declined sharply since early 2026, driven primarily by public opposition to the U.S. military conflict with Iran that escalated in February and triggered an oil-price spike along with higher gas and living costs. Recent national polls place his job-approval level near 34-40 percent, the lowest point of the term, with majorities disapproving of his handling of the economy, inflation, and foreign policy. The November 2026 midterms add pressure, as voters weigh these issues ahead of congressional contests that could shift legislative control. Any de-escalation in the conflict, favorable economic data releases, or successful policy shifts on domestic priorities could influence future readings before the year ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
10%
↑ 45%
10%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
41%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
10%
↑ 50%
3%
$4,837 Vol.
↑ 44%
10%
↑ 45%
10%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
41%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
10%
↑ 50%
3%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second-term approval ratings have declined sharply since early 2026, driven primarily by public opposition to the U.S. military conflict with Iran that escalated in February and triggered an oil-price spike along with higher gas and living costs. Recent national polls place his job-approval level near 34-40 percent, the lowest point of the term, with majorities disapproving of his handling of the economy, inflation, and foreign policy. The November 2026 midterms add pressure, as voters weigh these issues ahead of congressional contests that could shift legislative control. Any de-escalation in the conflict, favorable economic data releases, or successful policy shifts on domestic priorities could influence future readings before the year ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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