Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026 have maintained the United States at AA+ with stable outlooks, citing economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but not sharply worsening deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, assigned after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable view. These assessments align with trader consensus pricing an 85.5% probability against another downgrade by December 31, 2026, even as the Congressional Budget Office projects rising debt-to-GDP ratios. The statutory debt ceiling, last raised in 2025, is not expected to bind until mid-2027, reducing near-term brinkmanship risks that previously prompted rating actions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
12% шанс
$13,246 Обс.
$13,246 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
12% шанс
$13,246 Обс.
$13,246 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026 have maintained the United States at AA+ with stable outlooks, citing economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but not sharply worsening deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, assigned after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable view. These assessments align with trader consensus pricing an 85.5% probability against another downgrade by December 31, 2026, even as the Congressional Budget Office projects rising debt-to-GDP ratios. The statutory debt ceiling, last raised in 2025, is not expected to bind until mid-2027, reducing near-term brinkmanship risks that previously prompted rating actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$13,246Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026 have maintained the United States at AA+ with stable outlooks, citing economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but not sharply worsening deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, assigned after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable view. These assessments align with trader consensus pricing an 85.5% probability against another downgrade by December 31, 2026, even as the Congressional Budget Office projects rising debt-to-GDP ratios. The statutory debt ceiling, last raised in 2025, is not expected to bind until mid-2027, reducing near-term brinkmanship risks that previously prompted rating actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$13,246Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026 have maintained the United States at AA+ with stable outlooks, citing economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but not sharply worsening deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, assigned after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable view. These assessments align with trader consensus pricing an 85.5% probability against another downgrade by December 31, 2026, even as the Congressional Budget Office projects rising debt-to-GDP ratios. The statutory debt ceiling, last raised in 2025, is not expected to bind until mid-2027, reducing near-term brinkmanship risks that previously prompted rating actions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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