Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads first-round polling for Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election, positioning Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the main challenger expected to finish second. Flávio, running for the Liberal Party after his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility, polls around 36 percent behind Lula’s roughly 39 percent in recent surveys from Quaest, Ideia, and Futura. Fragmented backing for other right-wing candidates such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos keeps their shares in single digits, while a recent Banco Master scandal linked to Flávio has not altered these standings. Tight runoff simulations reinforce trader focus on Flávio securing the runner-up spot ahead of the first round.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоФлавіо Болсонару 62%
Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 15%
Ренан Сантос 7.3%
Ромеу Земі 6.3%
$3,523,394 Обс.
$3,523,394 Обс.

Флавіо Болсонару
62%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва
15%

Ренан Сантос
7%

Ромеу Земі
6%

Мішель Болсонару
4%

Фернандо Хаддад
3%

Камілу Сантана
2%

Tereza Cristina
1%

Роналду Каяду
1%

Жералду Алкмін
1%

Тарсіо де Фрейтас
<1%

Ратінью Жуніор
<1%

Алду Ребелу
<1%

Едуарду Болсонару
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%

Жаїр Болсонару
<1%

Едуарду Лейте
<1%
Флавіо Болсонару 62%
Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 15%
Ренан Сантос 7.3%
Ромеу Земі 6.3%
$3,523,394 Обс.
$3,523,394 Обс.

Флавіо Болсонару
62%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва
15%

Ренан Сантос
7%

Ромеу Земі
6%

Мішель Болсонару
4%

Фернандо Хаддад
3%

Камілу Сантана
2%

Tereza Cristina
1%

Роналду Каяду
1%

Жералду Алкмін
1%

Тарсіо де Фрейтас
<1%

Ратінью Жуніор
<1%

Алду Ребелу
<1%

Едуарду Болсонару
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%

Жаїр Болсонару
<1%

Едуарду Лейте
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads first-round polling for Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election, positioning Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the main challenger expected to finish second. Flávio, running for the Liberal Party after his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility, polls around 36 percent behind Lula’s roughly 39 percent in recent surveys from Quaest, Ideia, and Futura. Fragmented backing for other right-wing candidates such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos keeps their shares in single digits, while a recent Banco Master scandal linked to Flávio has not altered these standings. Tight runoff simulations reinforce trader focus on Flávio securing the runner-up spot ahead of the first round.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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