Iliana Iotova holds a commanding position in the October 25, 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as the incumbent who assumed the role in January 2026 following Rumen Radev’s resignation. July 2026 polling by Global Metrics showed her with roughly 50 percent support among likely voters, far ahead of caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov at 23 percent, reflecting broad backing from BSP–OL and Progressive Bulgaria voters alongside independent appeal. Gyurov’s second-place standing stems from his recent caretaker role and ties to PP–DB, though fragmented opposition candidacies and the absence of a unified challenger limit his momentum. The remaining field, including Kostadin Kostadinov and others below 1 percent, trails due to limited name recognition and party fragmentation after Progressive Bulgaria’s April parliamentary majority. These dynamics underpin trader consensus on Iotova’s strong lead entering the final weeks.