Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCore CPI (ex food and energy) MoM - May 2026
Core CPI (ex food and energy) MoM - May 2026
0.2% 96%
≤-0.3% <1%
-0.2% <1%
-0.1% <1%
$12,308 Обс.
$12,308 Обс.
Jun 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
No
-0.2%
No
-0.1%
No
0.0%
No
0.1%
No
0.2%
Yes
0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
No
≥0.6%
No
0.2% 96%
≤-0.3% <1%
-0.2% <1%
-0.1% <1%
$12,308 Обс.
$12,308 Обс.
Jun 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
$1,042 Обс.
No
-0.2%
$887 Обс.
No
-0.1%
$768 Обс.
No
0.0%
$639 Обс.
No
0.1%
$904 Обс.
No
0.2%
$2,740 Обс.
Yes
0.3%
$684 Обс.
No
0.4%
$1,107 Обс.
No
0.5%
$1,845 Обс.
No
≥0.6%
$1,693 Обс.
No
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: May 28, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,308Дата завершення
Jun 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 28, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$12,308Дата завершення
Jun 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 28, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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