Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic general election victories, including incumbent Lois Frankel's 55%-45% win over Dan Franzese in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in late April 2026 reshaped boundaries along the Broward-Palm Beach coastline, prompting Frankel's announcement last week to seek reelection in the more Democratic-leaning new CD-23 instead, leaving FL-22 as an open race. A crowded Republican primary features eight candidates, including well-funded Herbert Wertheim and repeat challenger Franzese, while Democrats face a smaller field with Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle; no polls exist yet, with ratings split between Cook's Solid D and others leaning Republican. Primaries are August 18, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$14,103 Обс.
$14,103 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
40%
$14,103 Обс.
$14,103 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,816 Обс.
56%
Republican Party
$7,287 Обс.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic general election victories, including incumbent Lois Frankel's 55%-45% win over Dan Franzese in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in late April 2026 reshaped boundaries along the Broward-Palm Beach coastline, prompting Frankel's announcement last week to seek reelection in the more Democratic-leaning new CD-23 instead, leaving FL-22 as an open race. A crowded Republican primary features eight candidates, including well-funded Herbert Wertheim and repeat challenger Franzese, while Democrats face a smaller field with Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle; no polls exist yet, with ratings split between Cook's Solid D and others leaning Republican. Primaries are August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,103Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic general election victories, including incumbent Lois Frankel's 55%-45% win over Dan Franzese in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in late April 2026 reshaped boundaries along the Broward-Palm Beach coastline, prompting Frankel's announcement last week to seek reelection in the more Democratic-leaning new CD-23 instead, leaving FL-22 as an open race. A crowded Republican primary features eight candidates, including well-funded Herbert Wertheim and repeat challenger Franzese, while Democrats face a smaller field with Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle; no polls exist yet, with ratings split between Cook's Solid D and others leaning Republican. Primaries are August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,103Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic general election victories, including incumbent Lois Frankel's 55%-45% win over Dan Franzese in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in late April 2026 reshaped boundaries along the Broward-Palm Beach coastline, prompting Frankel's announcement last week to seek reelection in the more Democratic-leaning new CD-23 instead, leaving FL-22 as an open race. A crowded Republican primary features eight candidates, including well-funded Herbert Wertheim and repeat challenger Franzese, while Democrats face a smaller field with Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle; no polls exist yet, with ratings split between Cook's Solid D and others leaning Republican. Primaries are August 18, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання