National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 84°F for Chicago on August 15, 2026, supported by southerly flow and partly sunny conditions after recent cool-down from the August 11 derecho. This aligns with the normal high of 82.8°F and positions 80–83°F ranges as the market leaders, reflecting typical model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating 78–85°F amid variable post-storm patterns, with limited warming potential from upstream ridging. Traders weigh these against historical August variability, where exact daily maxima can shift 2–4°F based on final model runs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 15?
80-81°F 46%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 46%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
$761 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,148 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$1,037 Обс.
16%
80-81°F
$1,206 Обс.
46%
82-83°F
$497 Обс.
30%
84-85°F
$937 Обс.
9%
86-87°F
$1,408 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$464 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$167 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$365 Обс.
<1%
94°F or higher
$168 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 84°F for Chicago on August 15, 2026, supported by southerly flow and partly sunny conditions after recent cool-down from the August 11 derecho. This aligns with the normal high of 82.8°F and positions 80–83°F ranges as the market leaders, reflecting typical model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating 78–85°F amid variable post-storm patterns, with limited warming potential from upstream ridging. Traders weigh these against historical August variability, where exact daily maxima can shift 2–4°F based on final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,158Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 84°F for Chicago on August 15, 2026, supported by southerly flow and partly sunny conditions after recent cool-down from the August 11 derecho. This aligns with the normal high of 82.8°F and positions 80–83°F ranges as the market leaders, reflecting typical model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating 78–85°F amid variable post-storm patterns, with limited warming potential from upstream ridging. Traders weigh these against historical August variability, where exact daily maxima can shift 2–4°F based on final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,158Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 84°F for Chicago on August 15, 2026, supported by southerly flow and partly sunny conditions after recent cool-down from the August 11 derecho. This aligns with the normal high of 82.8°F and positions 80–83°F ranges as the market leaders, reflecting typical model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating 78–85°F amid variable post-storm patterns, with limited warming potential from upstream ridging. Traders weigh these against historical August variability, where exact daily maxima can shift 2–4°F based on final model runs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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