**Trader consensus centers on 33–35°C as the most probable range for Kuala Lumpur’s highest temperature on August 8, 2026, reflecting both climatological norms and recent forecast guidance.** Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial climate typically produces early-August daily highs near 30–32°C, but AccuWeather’s monthly outlook for August 2026 projects a broader envelope of 30.6–35.1°C, with the upper end driven by seasonal dryness, reduced cloud cover, and variable monsoon influences. Recent surface observations from early August 2026 already show afternoon peaks reaching 33–34°C, consistent with this elevated baseline. Short-range numerical weather prediction models exhibit modest spread for the specific date, with ensemble means favoring 33–34°C under typical trade-wind patterns and minimal tropical disturbance activity. The modest 17% implied probability on 35°C captures the tail risk of localized heating or clearer skies, while lower outcomes (≤32°C) remain possible only if stronger convective rainfall develops. Ongoing monitoring of updated model runs from regional meteorological agencies will refine these probabilities as the event window approaches, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in pinpoint temperature forecasts even two days out.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 8?
34°C 47%
33°C 28%
35°C 16%
31°C 4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
28%
34°C
47%
35°C
16%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 47%
33°C 28%
35°C 16%
31°C 4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
28%
34°C
47%
35°C
16%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 33–35°C as the most probable range for Kuala Lumpur’s highest temperature on August 8, 2026, reflecting both climatological norms and recent forecast guidance.** Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial climate typically produces early-August daily highs near 30–32°C, but AccuWeather’s monthly outlook for August 2026 projects a broader envelope of 30.6–35.1°C, with the upper end driven by seasonal dryness, reduced cloud cover, and variable monsoon influences. Recent surface observations from early August 2026 already show afternoon peaks reaching 33–34°C, consistent with this elevated baseline. Short-range numerical weather prediction models exhibit modest spread for the specific date, with ensemble means favoring 33–34°C under typical trade-wind patterns and minimal tropical disturbance activity. The modest 17% implied probability on 35°C captures the tail risk of localized heating or clearer skies, while lower outcomes (≤32°C) remain possible only if stronger convective rainfall develops. Ongoing monitoring of updated model runs from regional meteorological agencies will refine these probabilities as the event window approaches, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in pinpoint temperature forecasts even two days out.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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