Traders heavily favor a 29°C high in Shanghai on August 16 due to the latest model consensus and official guidance indicating overcast skies, scattered thundershowers, and moderating easterly flow that limit daytime heating. Recent observational data show surface temperatures tracking near or below seasonal norms amid elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with National Meteorological Center analyses. This positioning aligns with ensemble forecasts projecting a peak near 29°C rather than the 31–32°C typical for mid-August. A sudden dissipation of clouds or stronger subsidence could push readings to 30–31°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent moisture and the short remaining window before daily maximums are recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
29°C 94%
30°C 4.5%
31°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$125,898 Обс.
$125,898 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
94%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 94%
30°C 4.5%
31°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$125,898 Обс.
$125,898 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$324 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,293 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$7,299 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$34,985 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$25,931 Обс.
94%
30°C
$22,339 Обс.
5%
31°C
$19,610 Обс.
1%
32°C
$8,109 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$4,069 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$1,587 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$353 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor a 29°C high in Shanghai on August 16 due to the latest model consensus and official guidance indicating overcast skies, scattered thundershowers, and moderating easterly flow that limit daytime heating. Recent observational data show surface temperatures tracking near or below seasonal norms amid elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with National Meteorological Center analyses. This positioning aligns with ensemble forecasts projecting a peak near 29°C rather than the 31–32°C typical for mid-August. A sudden dissipation of clouds or stronger subsidence could push readings to 30–31°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent moisture and the short remaining window before daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$125,898Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor a 29°C high in Shanghai on August 16 due to the latest model consensus and official guidance indicating overcast skies, scattered thundershowers, and moderating easterly flow that limit daytime heating. Recent observational data show surface temperatures tracking near or below seasonal norms amid elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with National Meteorological Center analyses. This positioning aligns with ensemble forecasts projecting a peak near 29°C rather than the 31–32°C typical for mid-August. A sudden dissipation of clouds or stronger subsidence could push readings to 30–31°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent moisture and the short remaining window before daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$125,898Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor a 29°C high in Shanghai on August 16 due to the latest model consensus and official guidance indicating overcast skies, scattered thundershowers, and moderating easterly flow that limit daytime heating. Recent observational data show surface temperatures tracking near or below seasonal norms amid elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with National Meteorological Center analyses. This positioning aligns with ensemble forecasts projecting a peak near 29°C rather than the 31–32°C typical for mid-August. A sudden dissipation of clouds or stronger subsidence could push readings to 30–31°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent moisture and the short remaining window before daily maximums are recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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