Current forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and ensembles converge on a Tel Aviv high of 31–33 °C for 23 August, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and strong daytime insolation typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Dew points near 22–24 °C and modest humidity (50–65 %) support efficient surface heating without significant cloud or moisture suppression. Historical climatology places the August 23 mean maximum near 30–31 °C, so the market-implied clustering around 32 °C (65.5 %) and 33 °C (30.5 %) reflects modest positive anomalies in recent model runs and the absence of any cooling advection or sea-breeze strengthening through the weekend. Traders are weighting the tight consensus and limited forecast spread, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
32°C 66%
33°C 31%
31°C 5%
30°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
66%
33°C
31%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
33°C 31%
31°C 5%
30°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
66%
33°C
31%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and ensembles converge on a Tel Aviv high of 31–33 °C for 23 August, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and strong daytime insolation typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Dew points near 22–24 °C and modest humidity (50–65 %) support efficient surface heating without significant cloud or moisture suppression. Historical climatology places the August 23 mean maximum near 30–31 °C, so the market-implied clustering around 32 °C (65.5 %) and 33 °C (30.5 %) reflects modest positive anomalies in recent model runs and the absence of any cooling advection or sea-breeze strengthening through the weekend. Traders are weighting the tight consensus and limited forecast spread, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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