Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows of 24–27°C in Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly sea breezes that limit nocturnal radiative cooling and maintain marine-layer influence. These patterns, alongside partly cloudy skies and high humidity, differentiate probabilities across the clustered 22–28°C outcomes by modulating the urban heat island and surface inversion strength. Stable high pressure and minimal precipitation keep extremes unlikely, though minor model disagreements on wind timing and cloud cover sustain the balanced trader consensus ahead of final observational resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
22°C or below 38%
27°C 29%
26°C 29%
28°C 28%
22°C or below
38%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
28%
29°C
5%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
25%
22°C or below 38%
27°C 29%
26°C 29%
28°C 28%
22°C or below
38%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
28%
29°C
5%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows of 24–27°C in Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly sea breezes that limit nocturnal radiative cooling and maintain marine-layer influence. These patterns, alongside partly cloudy skies and high humidity, differentiate probabilities across the clustered 22–28°C outcomes by modulating the urban heat island and surface inversion strength. Stable high pressure and minimal precipitation keep extremes unlikely, though minor model disagreements on wind timing and cloud cover sustain the balanced trader consensus ahead of final observational resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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