Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKhamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
<5 49%
5-9 8%
55-59 5.5%
50-54 2.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 22, 2026
<5
49%
5-9
26%
10-14
23%
15-19
23%
20-24
20%
25-29
22%
30-34
16%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
2%
55-59
5%
60+
1%
<5 49%
5-9 8%
55-59 5.5%
50-54 2.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 22, 2026
<5
$297 Обс.
49%
5-9
$81 Обс.
26%
10-14
$90 Обс.
23%
15-19
$63 Обс.
23%
20-24
$59 Обс.
20%
25-29
$59 Обс.
22%
30-34
$120 Обс.
16%
35-39
$88 Обс.
1%
40-44
$190 Обс.
1%
45-49
$120 Обс.
1%
50-54
$197 Обс.
2%
55-59
$179 Обс.
5%
60+
$338 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,879Дата завершення
May 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,879Дата завершення
May 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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