Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father as Iran’s Supreme Leader following the 2026 strikes, maintains a low public profile and issues most communications through official statements, Telegram, or state media rather than frequent direct X activity. Associated accounts have shown only sporadic posting in recent months, primarily tied to commemorative or religious content with no sustained increase. No major diplomatic summits, military developments, policy milestones, or crises are scheduled within the September 4–11 window that would typically prompt additional official statements. Health-related speculation has not translated into higher direct engagement. Trader consensus therefore assigns the highest probability to fewer than five posts, consistent with established patterns absent specific triggers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKhamenei # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?
<5 85%
5-9 10%
10-14 5.7%
15-19 2.2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
<5
85%
5-9
10%
10-14
6%
15-19
2%
20-24
2%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 85%
5-9 10%
10-14 5.7%
15-19 2.2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
<5
$240 Обс.
85%
5-9
$88 Обс.
10%
10-14
$80 Обс.
6%
15-19
$88 Обс.
2%
20-24
$88 Обс.
2%
25-29
$88 Обс.
1%
30-34
$88 Обс.
1%
35-39
$157 Обс.
2%
40-44
$88 Обс.
1%
45-49
$88 Обс.
1%
50-54
$80 Обс.
1%
55-59
$80 Обс.
1%
60+
$80 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father as Iran’s Supreme Leader following the 2026 strikes, maintains a low public profile and issues most communications through official statements, Telegram, or state media rather than frequent direct X activity. Associated accounts have shown only sporadic posting in recent months, primarily tied to commemorative or religious content with no sustained increase. No major diplomatic summits, military developments, policy milestones, or crises are scheduled within the September 4–11 window that would typically prompt additional official statements. Health-related speculation has not translated into higher direct engagement. Trader consensus therefore assigns the highest probability to fewer than five posts, consistent with established patterns absent specific triggers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,331Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father as Iran’s Supreme Leader following the 2026 strikes, maintains a low public profile and issues most communications through official statements, Telegram, or state media rather than frequent direct X activity. Associated accounts have shown only sporadic posting in recent months, primarily tied to commemorative or religious content with no sustained increase. No major diplomatic summits, military developments, policy milestones, or crises are scheduled within the September 4–11 window that would typically prompt additional official statements. Health-related speculation has not translated into higher direct engagement. Trader consensus therefore assigns the highest probability to fewer than five posts, consistent with established patterns absent specific triggers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,331Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father as Iran’s Supreme Leader following the 2026 strikes, maintains a low public profile and issues most communications through official statements, Telegram, or state media rather than frequent direct X activity. Associated accounts have shown only sporadic posting in recent months, primarily tied to commemorative or religious content with no sustained increase. No major diplomatic summits, military developments, policy milestones, or crises are scheduled within the September 4–11 window that would typically prompt additional official statements. Health-related speculation has not translated into higher direct engagement. Trader consensus therefore assigns the highest probability to fewer than five posts, consistent with established patterns absent specific triggers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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