Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader following his father's death in early 2026 strikes, maintains a low direct presence on X through his verified accounts. Communications occur mainly via occasional written statements released through official Telegram channels, state media, or archival content rather than frequent original posts. Recent activity has remained sporadic, focused on commemorative or general messages without sustained increases, and no major diplomatic summits, military escalations, policy deadlines, or crisis events fall within the September 1–8 window that would typically prompt additional output. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern, with the <5 outcome holding a commanding position. Developments such as sudden health announcements, regional security incidents, or high-profile international negotiations could still increase volume and shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKhamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?
<5 94%
15-19 16.8%
5-9 6%
10-14 2.2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
<5
94%
5-9
6%
10-14
2%
15-19
17%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 94%
15-19 16.8%
5-9 6%
10-14 2.2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
<5
$1,195 Обс.
94%
5-9
$45 Обс.
6%
10-14
$90 Обс.
2%
15-19
$63 Обс.
17%
20-24
$45 Обс.
1%
25-29
$45 Обс.
1%
30-34
$53 Обс.
1%
35-39
$58 Обс.
1%
40-44
$50 Обс.
1%
45-49
$52 Обс.
1%
50-54
$160 Обс.
1%
55-59
$58 Обс.
1%
60+
$46 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader following his father's death in early 2026 strikes, maintains a low direct presence on X through his verified accounts. Communications occur mainly via occasional written statements released through official Telegram channels, state media, or archival content rather than frequent original posts. Recent activity has remained sporadic, focused on commemorative or general messages without sustained increases, and no major diplomatic summits, military escalations, policy deadlines, or crisis events fall within the September 1–8 window that would typically prompt additional output. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern, with the <5 outcome holding a commanding position. Developments such as sudden health announcements, regional security incidents, or high-profile international negotiations could still increase volume and shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,959Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader following his father's death in early 2026 strikes, maintains a low direct presence on X through his verified accounts. Communications occur mainly via occasional written statements released through official Telegram channels, state media, or archival content rather than frequent original posts. Recent activity has remained sporadic, focused on commemorative or general messages without sustained increases, and no major diplomatic summits, military escalations, policy deadlines, or crisis events fall within the September 1–8 window that would typically prompt additional output. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern, with the <5 outcome holding a commanding position. Developments such as sudden health announcements, regional security incidents, or high-profile international negotiations could still increase volume and shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,959Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader following his father's death in early 2026 strikes, maintains a low direct presence on X through his verified accounts. Communications occur mainly via occasional written statements released through official Telegram channels, state media, or archival content rather than frequent original posts. Recent activity has remained sporadic, focused on commemorative or general messages without sustained increases, and no major diplomatic summits, military escalations, policy deadlines, or crisis events fall within the September 1–8 window that would typically prompt additional output. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern, with the <5 outcome holding a commanding position. Developments such as sudden health announcements, regional security incidents, or high-profile international negotiations could still increase volume and shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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