Recent polling from state-linked firms like WCIOM and FOM shows United Russia holding a commanding lead for first place ahead of the September 18-20 State Duma vote, while New People, LDPR, KPRF, and SRZP remain clustered in the single digits to low teens for the remaining seats above the five-percent threshold. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko further narrowed registered options without resolving the order among the mid-tier parties. Stable voter intentions since June, combined with fewer competing lists overall and limited late-campaign shifts, have kept implied probabilities for fourth place tightly grouped across multiple outcomes. Traders view the contest as highly sensitive to small polling movements or turnout variations among systemic opposition groups before voting concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 50%
New People (NL) 44%
Civic Platform (GP) 32%
United Russia (ER) 30.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
50%
New People (NL)
44%
Civic Platform (GP)
32%
United Russia (ER)
30%
Rodina
27%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
14%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
38%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 50%
New People (NL) 44%
Civic Platform (GP) 32%
United Russia (ER) 30.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$0 Обс.
50%
New People (NL)
$0 Обс.
44%
Civic Platform (GP)
$28 Обс.
32%
United Russia (ER)
$21 Обс.
30%
Rodina
$0 Обс.
27%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$0 Обс.
14%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$20 Обс.
38%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-linked firms like WCIOM and FOM shows United Russia holding a commanding lead for first place ahead of the September 18-20 State Duma vote, while New People, LDPR, KPRF, and SRZP remain clustered in the single digits to low teens for the remaining seats above the five-percent threshold. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko further narrowed registered options without resolving the order among the mid-tier parties. Stable voter intentions since June, combined with fewer competing lists overall and limited late-campaign shifts, have kept implied probabilities for fourth place tightly grouped across multiple outcomes. Traders view the contest as highly sensitive to small polling movements or turnout variations among systemic opposition groups before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$69Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-linked firms like WCIOM and FOM shows United Russia holding a commanding lead for first place ahead of the September 18-20 State Duma vote, while New People, LDPR, KPRF, and SRZP remain clustered in the single digits to low teens for the remaining seats above the five-percent threshold. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko further narrowed registered options without resolving the order among the mid-tier parties. Stable voter intentions since June, combined with fewer competing lists overall and limited late-campaign shifts, have kept implied probabilities for fourth place tightly grouped across multiple outcomes. Traders view the contest as highly sensitive to small polling movements or turnout variations among systemic opposition groups before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Обсяг
$69Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from state-linked firms like WCIOM and FOM shows United Russia holding a commanding lead for first place ahead of the September 18-20 State Duma vote, while New People, LDPR, KPRF, and SRZP remain clustered in the single digits to low teens for the remaining seats above the five-percent threshold. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko further narrowed registered options without resolving the order among the mid-tier parties. Stable voter intentions since June, combined with fewer competing lists overall and limited late-campaign shifts, have kept implied probabilities for fourth place tightly grouped across multiple outcomes. Traders view the contest as highly sensitive to small polling movements or turnout variations among systemic opposition groups before voting concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
48%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90%
Чи отримає «Єдина Росія» (ЄР) найбільше місць на наступних парламентських виборах у Росії?
99%
Так
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання