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icon for How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Політика·Russia

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

icon for How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Політика·Russia

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

<35 86%

35–44 12.3%

45–54 2.6%

85+ <1%

Polymarket

$27,356 Обс.

<35 86%

35–44 12.3%

45–54 2.6%

85+ <1%

Polymarket

$27,356 Обс.

<35

$11,020 Обс.

86%

35–44

$7,295 Обс.

12%

45–54

$1,932 Обс.

3%

55–64

$1,876 Обс.

1%

65–74

$1,544 Обс.

<1%

75–84

$1,701 Обс.

1%

85+

$1,987 Обс.

1%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding 15–16 seats after clearing the threshold in 2021 with 5.3 percent of the party-list vote. Recent state-affiliated polls from FOM and VCIOM place the party at 8–11 percent, while independent surveys show somewhat higher figures around 10–16 percent among decided voters; even the upper end projects roughly 20–30 proportional seats plus limited single-mandate gains. The party has fielded candidates in only 83 single-member districts and operates within Russia’s managed multiparty system, where United Russia dominates both list and district contests. Yabloko’s exclusion from the ballot offers a modest potential boost, yet no developments have altered the structural ceiling that keeps most trader consensus below 35 total seats.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$27,356
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding 15–16 seats after clearing the threshold in 2021 with 5.3 percent of the party-list vote. Recent state-affiliated polls from FOM and VCIOM place the party at 8–11 percent, while independent surveys show somewhat higher figures around 10–16 percent among decided voters; even the upper end projects roughly 20–30 proportional seats plus limited single-mandate gains. The party has fielded candidates in only 83 single-member districts and operates within Russia’s managed multiparty system, where United Russia dominates both list and district contests. Yabloko’s exclusion from the ballot offers a modest potential boost, yet no developments have altered the structural ceiling that keeps most trader consensus below 35 total seats.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$27,356
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

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Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

43%
icon for Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

94%
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Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

98%

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Часті запитання

«How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «<35» з 86%, далі «35–44» з 12%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?» згенерував $27.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?» — «<35» з 86%. Наступний — «35–44» з 12%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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