The recent September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election produced preliminary Central Election Commission tallies placing the Communist Party (KPRF) at roughly 13.8% of the party-list vote—down from 18.9% in 2021—and ahead in only a handful of the 225 single-member districts. United Russia’s commanding 57–58% share and leads in over 200 districts lock in a large constitutional majority, leaving limited proportional and constituency seats for systemic opposition parties under the mixed system and 5% threshold. Traders price the sub-50 seat bracket near certainty because these early counts, combined with redistribution mechanics, align closely with KPRF’s 2021 total of 57 seats and point to a modest or reduced haul once final results are certified. Late adjustments in remaining precincts or threshold outcomes for smaller parties represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the exact total.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<50 98.6%
70–79 <1%
60–69 <1%
50–59 <1%
$61,780 Обс.
$61,780 Обс.
<50
99%
50–59
1%
60–69
1%
70–79
1%
80–89
<1%
90–99
<1%
100+
<1%
<50 98.6%
70–79 <1%
60–69 <1%
50–59 <1%
$61,780 Обс.
$61,780 Обс.
<50
99%
50–59
1%
60–69
1%
70–79
1%
80–89
<1%
90–99
<1%
100+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The recent September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election produced preliminary Central Election Commission tallies placing the Communist Party (KPRF) at roughly 13.8% of the party-list vote—down from 18.9% in 2021—and ahead in only a handful of the 225 single-member districts. United Russia’s commanding 57–58% share and leads in over 200 districts lock in a large constitutional majority, leaving limited proportional and constituency seats for systemic opposition parties under the mixed system and 5% threshold. Traders price the sub-50 seat bracket near certainty because these early counts, combined with redistribution mechanics, align closely with KPRF’s 2021 total of 57 seats and point to a modest or reduced haul once final results are certified. Late adjustments in remaining precincts or threshold outcomes for smaller parties represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the exact total.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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