**Forecast consensus for Cape Town’s overnight low on 29 August centers on 11–13 °C, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered because multiple global and regional models show only modest differences in boundary-layer cooling.** Southerly winds expected to strengthen during the day will advect cooler maritime air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of light rain or drizzle, both of which limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical climatology places the typical August minimum near 10–11 °C at the airport station, but the current synoptic pattern—mild daytime highs around 16–18 °C and persistent onshore flow—favors a slightly warmer floor. Ensemble spreads in the ECMWF and GFS runs indicate a realistic range of 10–14 °C, explaining why no single bin dominates and why traders are assigning comparable weight to the 10–13 °C outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will be the next key input before the 24-hour minimum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
12°C 30%
13°C 29%
11°C 27%
10°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
7°C or below
3%
8°C
8%
9°C
10%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
30%
13°C
29%
14°C
25%
15°C
22%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
6%
12°C 30%
13°C 29%
11°C 27%
10°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
7°C or below
$5 Обс.
3%
8°C
$75 Обс.
8%
9°C
$46 Обс.
10%
10°C
$0 Обс.
26%
11°C
$0 Обс.
27%
12°C
$0 Обс.
30%
13°C
$0 Обс.
29%
14°C
$0 Обс.
25%
15°C
$0 Обс.
22%
16°C
$5 Обс.
2%
17°C or higher
$5 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Cape Town’s overnight low on 29 August centers on 11–13 °C, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered because multiple global and regional models show only modest differences in boundary-layer cooling.** Southerly winds expected to strengthen during the day will advect cooler maritime air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of light rain or drizzle, both of which limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical climatology places the typical August minimum near 10–11 °C at the airport station, but the current synoptic pattern—mild daytime highs around 16–18 °C and persistent onshore flow—favors a slightly warmer floor. Ensemble spreads in the ECMWF and GFS runs indicate a realistic range of 10–14 °C, explaining why no single bin dominates and why traders are assigning comparable weight to the 10–13 °C outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will be the next key input before the 24-hour minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$136Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Cape Town’s overnight low on 29 August centers on 11–13 °C, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered because multiple global and regional models show only modest differences in boundary-layer cooling.** Southerly winds expected to strengthen during the day will advect cooler maritime air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of light rain or drizzle, both of which limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical climatology places the typical August minimum near 10–11 °C at the airport station, but the current synoptic pattern—mild daytime highs around 16–18 °C and persistent onshore flow—favors a slightly warmer floor. Ensemble spreads in the ECMWF and GFS runs indicate a realistic range of 10–14 °C, explaining why no single bin dominates and why traders are assigning comparable weight to the 10–13 °C outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will be the next key input before the 24-hour minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$136Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Cape Town’s overnight low on 29 August centers on 11–13 °C, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered because multiple global and regional models show only modest differences in boundary-layer cooling.** Southerly winds expected to strengthen during the day will advect cooler maritime air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of light rain or drizzle, both of which limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical climatology places the typical August minimum near 10–11 °C at the airport station, but the current synoptic pattern—mild daytime highs around 16–18 °C and persistent onshore flow—favors a slightly warmer floor. Ensemble spreads in the ECMWF and GFS runs indicate a realistic range of 10–14 °C, explaining why no single bin dominates and why traders are assigning comparable weight to the 10–13 °C outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will be the next key input before the 24-hour minimum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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