Recent forecast runs from the ECMWF, ICON, and GFS ensembles indicate Munich’s minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 10–12 °C, driven by clearing skies after Wednesday’s showers, light westerly winds, and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under moderate humidity. These conditions align with the climatological average low of 9.9 °C for the date while remaining above the historical extreme of –0.5 °C. Market-implied odds favor 8 °C or below at 37 % because traders weigh residual model spread and potential for clearer, calmer nights that could push readings lower than the consensus 11 °C minimum. Updated high-resolution guidance and any late-day observational adjustments from DWD stations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 17?
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
8°C or below 37%
10°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
37%
9°C
24%
10°C
27%
11°C
25%
12°C
19%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
16%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
8°C or below 37%
10°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
37%
9°C
$0 Обс.
24%
10°C
$0 Обс.
27%
11°C
$0 Обс.
25%
12°C
$0 Обс.
19%
13°C
$0 Обс.
39%
14°C
$0 Обс.
39%
15°C
$0 Обс.
16%
16°C
$0 Обс.
8%
17°C
$0 Обс.
2%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from the ECMWF, ICON, and GFS ensembles indicate Munich’s minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 10–12 °C, driven by clearing skies after Wednesday’s showers, light westerly winds, and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under moderate humidity. These conditions align with the climatological average low of 9.9 °C for the date while remaining above the historical extreme of –0.5 °C. Market-implied odds favor 8 °C or below at 37 % because traders weigh residual model spread and potential for clearer, calmer nights that could push readings lower than the consensus 11 °C minimum. Updated high-resolution guidance and any late-day observational adjustments from DWD stations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from the ECMWF, ICON, and GFS ensembles indicate Munich’s minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 10–12 °C, driven by clearing skies after Wednesday’s showers, light westerly winds, and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under moderate humidity. These conditions align with the climatological average low of 9.9 °C for the date while remaining above the historical extreme of –0.5 °C. Market-implied odds favor 8 °C or below at 37 % because traders weigh residual model spread and potential for clearer, calmer nights that could push readings lower than the consensus 11 °C minimum. Updated high-resolution guidance and any late-day observational adjustments from DWD stations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from the ECMWF, ICON, and GFS ensembles indicate Munich’s minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 10–12 °C, driven by clearing skies after Wednesday’s showers, light westerly winds, and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under moderate humidity. These conditions align with the climatological average low of 9.9 °C for the date while remaining above the historical extreme of –0.5 °C. Market-implied odds favor 8 °C or below at 37 % because traders weigh residual model spread and potential for clearer, calmer nights that could push readings lower than the consensus 11 °C minimum. Updated high-resolution guidance and any late-day observational adjustments from DWD stations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання