Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low for June 18 will likely settle near 24°C amid cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and possible showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 41% implied probability, as humid subtropical conditions and a lack of strong cold advection keep minimums above seasonal averages of 20–22°C. The secondary 23°C share at 25.5% reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any rain, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below would require clearer skies or unexpected northerly flow not currently signaled. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–18 hours will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
24°C 41%
23°C 26%
22°C 11.4%
21°C 6.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
26%
24°C
41%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
23°C 26%
22°C 11.4%
21°C 6.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$908 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$388 Обс.
1%
21°C
$93 Обс.
6%
22°C
$220 Обс.
11%
23°C
$623 Обс.
26%
24°C
$207 Обс.
41%
25°C
$464 Обс.
6%
26°C
$313 Обс.
1%
27°C
$58 Обс.
1%
28°C
$174 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$26 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low for June 18 will likely settle near 24°C amid cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and possible showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 41% implied probability, as humid subtropical conditions and a lack of strong cold advection keep minimums above seasonal averages of 20–22°C. The secondary 23°C share at 25.5% reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any rain, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below would require clearer skies or unexpected northerly flow not currently signaled. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–18 hours will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,466Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low for June 18 will likely settle near 24°C amid cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and possible showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 41% implied probability, as humid subtropical conditions and a lack of strong cold advection keep minimums above seasonal averages of 20–22°C. The secondary 23°C share at 25.5% reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any rain, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below would require clearer skies or unexpected northerly flow not currently signaled. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–18 hours will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,466Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low for June 18 will likely settle near 24°C amid cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and possible showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 41% implied probability, as humid subtropical conditions and a lack of strong cold advection keep minimums above seasonal averages of 20–22°C. The secondary 23°C share at 25.5% reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any rain, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below would require clearer skies or unexpected northerly flow not currently signaled. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–18 hours will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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