**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's lowest temperature on September 1, 2026, centers on 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes (market-implied odds of 41.5% and 50.5%), reflecting converging short-range forecasts from models and official sources amid the region's late-summer monsoon transition.** Shenzhen's subtropical climate features high humidity and frequent convective activity in early September, with climatological overnight lows typically near 26°C. Recent developments include persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms through August 30–31 that have suppressed daytime heating and promoted modest overnight radiative cooling. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 1 consistently project a low around 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with several sources highlighting 25–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that limit mixing. The close spread between 25°C and 26°C stems from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, dew-point depression, and cloud persistence—factors that control how much heat escapes overnight. Higher probabilities for these values versus 23°C or 27°C+ capture model consensus on moderate rain chances and urban heat retention, while the low odds for extremes (below 23°C or 30°C+) align with the absence of strong cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling. New model runs and observational updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the coming 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
26°C 51%
29°C 48%
25°C 43%
23°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
31%
24°C
31%
25°C
43%
26°C
51%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
48%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 51%
29°C 48%
25°C 43%
23°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
6%
23°C
$0 Обс.
31%
24°C
$0 Обс.
31%
25°C
$0 Обс.
43%
26°C
$0 Обс.
51%
27°C
$0 Обс.
26%
28°C
$0 Обс.
26%
29°C
$10 Обс.
48%
30°C
$0 Обс.
1%
31°C
$0 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's lowest temperature on September 1, 2026, centers on 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes (market-implied odds of 41.5% and 50.5%), reflecting converging short-range forecasts from models and official sources amid the region's late-summer monsoon transition.**
Shenzhen's subtropical climate features high humidity and frequent convective activity in early September, with climatological overnight lows typically near 26°C. Recent developments include persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms through August 30–31 that have suppressed daytime heating and promoted modest overnight radiative cooling. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 1 consistently project a low around 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with several sources highlighting 25–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that limit mixing.
The close spread between 25°C and 26°C stems from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, dew-point depression, and cloud persistence—factors that control how much heat escapes overnight. Higher probabilities for these values versus 23°C or 27°C+ capture model consensus on moderate rain chances and urban heat retention, while the low odds for extremes (below 23°C or 30°C+) align with the absence of strong cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling. New model runs and observational updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the coming 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's lowest temperature on September 1, 2026, centers on 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes (market-implied odds of 41.5% and 50.5%), reflecting converging short-range forecasts from models and official sources amid the region's late-summer monsoon transition.**
Shenzhen's subtropical climate features high humidity and frequent convective activity in early September, with climatological overnight lows typically near 26°C. Recent developments include persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms through August 30–31 that have suppressed daytime heating and promoted modest overnight radiative cooling. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 1 consistently project a low around 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with several sources highlighting 25–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that limit mixing.
The close spread between 25°C and 26°C stems from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, dew-point depression, and cloud persistence—factors that control how much heat escapes overnight. Higher probabilities for these values versus 23°C or 27°C+ capture model consensus on moderate rain chances and urban heat retention, while the low odds for extremes (below 23°C or 30°C+) align with the absence of strong cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling. New model runs and observational updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the coming 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's lowest temperature on September 1, 2026, centers on 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes (market-implied odds of 41.5% and 50.5%), reflecting converging short-range forecasts from models and official sources amid the region's late-summer monsoon transition.** Shenzhen's subtropical climate features high humidity and frequent convective activity in early September, with climatological overnight lows typically near 26°C. Recent developments include persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms through August 30–31 that have suppressed daytime heating and promoted modest overnight radiative cooling. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 1 consistently project a low around 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with several sources highlighting 25–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that limit mixing. The close spread between 25°C and 26°C stems from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, dew-point depression, and cloud persistence—factors that control how much heat escapes overnight. Higher probabilities for these values versus 23°C or 27°C+ capture model consensus on moderate rain chances and urban heat retention, while the low odds for extremes (below 23°C or 30°C+) align with the absence of strong cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling. New model runs and observational updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the coming 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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