Latest meteorological forecasts position 11°C as the market leader for Wellington's minimum temperature on August 23 due to model consensus from agencies like MetService and ECMWF showing moderating southerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Regional high-pressure influence and a recent warming trend in observed data have shifted probabilities away from colder outliers below 9°C. Historical August climatology for the area averages 6–8°C minima, but current atmospheric patterns favor milder conditions near 10–12°C. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and surface observations for any rapid adjustments ahead of the overnight period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
12°C 17%
10°C 16%
9°C 12%
8°C 11%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
11%
9°C
12%
10°C
16%
11°C
42%
12°C
17%
13°C
7%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
12°C 17%
10°C 16%
9°C 12%
8°C 11%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
11%
9°C
12%
10°C
16%
11°C
42%
12°C
17%
13°C
7%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts position 11°C as the market leader for Wellington's minimum temperature on August 23 due to model consensus from agencies like MetService and ECMWF showing moderating southerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Regional high-pressure influence and a recent warming trend in observed data have shifted probabilities away from colder outliers below 9°C. Historical August climatology for the area averages 6–8°C minima, but current atmospheric patterns favor milder conditions near 10–12°C. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and surface observations for any rapid adjustments ahead of the overnight period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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