Recent polling from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus shows the Social Democrats holding a steady 32–34 percent lead ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, establishing Magdalena Andersson as the clear trader consensus favorite for next prime minister. This edge stems from consistent voter support for the opposition bloc and the current centre-right government's vulnerability, as its four-party arrangement including the Sweden Democrats has not yet translated into majority backing. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's April announcement of plans for a formal majority coalition with the Sweden Democrats, granting them key immigration roles, has consolidated right-wing positioning but has not closed the gap in surveys. Minor candidates such as Jimmie Åkesson and Ebba Busch trail sharply because their parties remain secondary players in the projected seat math and lack viable paths to the premiership under current trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНаступний прем 'єр-міністр Швеції
Магдалена Андерссон 69%
Ульф Крістерссон 29%
Джіммі Окесон 2.3%
Ебба Буш <1%
$1,954,322 Обс.
$1,954,322 Обс.

Магдалена Андерссон
69%

Ульф Крістерссон
29%

Джіммі Окесон
2%

Ебба Буш
<1%

Анна-Карін Хатт
<1%

Аманда Лінд
<1%

Сімона Мохамссон
<1%

Даніель Хеллден
<1%

Нуші Дадгостар
<1%

Елізабет Танд Рінгквіст
<1%
Магдалена Андерссон 69%
Ульф Крістерссон 29%
Джіммі Окесон 2.3%
Ебба Буш <1%
$1,954,322 Обс.
$1,954,322 Обс.

Магдалена Андерссон
69%

Ульф Крістерссон
29%

Джіммі Окесон
2%

Ебба Буш
<1%

Анна-Карін Хатт
<1%

Аманда Лінд
<1%

Сімона Мохамссон
<1%

Даніель Хеллден
<1%

Нуші Дадгостар
<1%

Елізабет Танд Рінгквіст
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus shows the Social Democrats holding a steady 32–34 percent lead ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, establishing Magdalena Andersson as the clear trader consensus favorite for next prime minister. This edge stems from consistent voter support for the opposition bloc and the current centre-right government's vulnerability, as its four-party arrangement including the Sweden Democrats has not yet translated into majority backing. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's April announcement of plans for a formal majority coalition with the Sweden Democrats, granting them key immigration roles, has consolidated right-wing positioning but has not closed the gap in surveys. Minor candidates such as Jimmie Åkesson and Ebba Busch trail sharply because their parties remain secondary players in the projected seat math and lack viable paths to the premiership under current trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання