Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination with nearly 90% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 3rd district, facing Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. The seat, encompassing eastern Portland and surrounding areas, has long favored Democrats, reflected in Dexter's 2024 margin exceeding 35 points and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling or notable campaign shifts in recent months. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a pronounced national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in this safely held district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOR-03 House Election Winner
OR-03 House Election Winner
$13,777 Обс.
$13,777 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$13,777 Обс.
$13,777 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,633 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$9,144 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination with nearly 90% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 3rd district, facing Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. The seat, encompassing eastern Portland and surrounding areas, has long favored Democrats, reflected in Dexter's 2024 margin exceeding 35 points and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling or notable campaign shifts in recent months. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a pronounced national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in this safely held district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,777Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination with nearly 90% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 3rd district, facing Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. The seat, encompassing eastern Portland and surrounding areas, has long favored Democrats, reflected in Dexter's 2024 margin exceeding 35 points and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling or notable campaign shifts in recent months. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a pronounced national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in this safely held district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,777Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination with nearly 90% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 3rd district, facing Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. The seat, encompassing eastern Portland and surrounding areas, has long favored Democrats, reflected in Dexter's 2024 margin exceeding 35 points and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling or notable campaign shifts in recent months. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a pronounced national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in this safely held district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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