Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's commanding fundraising lead—over $900,000 raised versus negligible sums from primary challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House win in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook PVI. Ballots for the May 19 primary mailed last week, where Dexter is positioned for easy renomination amid the district's history of Democratic blowouts, including her 2024 68-25% general election margin. Only one Republican, Loran Ayles, seeks nomination so far, underscoring weak GOP opposition. While a national Republican wave, Dexter primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could shift odds, structural advantages favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOR-03 House Election Winner
OR-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$748 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$586 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's commanding fundraising lead—over $900,000 raised versus negligible sums from primary challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House win in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook PVI. Ballots for the May 19 primary mailed last week, where Dexter is positioned for easy renomination amid the district's history of Democratic blowouts, including her 2024 68-25% general election margin. Only one Republican, Loran Ayles, seeks nomination so far, underscoring weak GOP opposition. While a national Republican wave, Dexter primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could shift odds, structural advantages favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,334Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's commanding fundraising lead—over $900,000 raised versus negligible sums from primary challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House win in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook PVI. Ballots for the May 19 primary mailed last week, where Dexter is positioned for easy renomination amid the district's history of Democratic blowouts, including her 2024 68-25% general election margin. Only one Republican, Loran Ayles, seeks nomination so far, underscoring weak GOP opposition. While a national Republican wave, Dexter primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could shift odds, structural advantages favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,334Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's commanding fundraising lead—over $900,000 raised versus negligible sums from primary challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House win in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook PVI. Ballots for the May 19 primary mailed last week, where Dexter is positioned for easy renomination amid the district's history of Democratic blowouts, including her 2024 68-25% general election margin. Only one Republican, Loran Ayles, seeks nomination so far, underscoring weak GOP opposition. While a national Republican wave, Dexter primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could shift odds, structural advantages favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання