Recent polling trends position the Parti Québécois ahead in seat projections for Quebec’s National Assembly despite a tight popular vote race with the Quebec Liberal Party. A new CAQ premier, Christine Fréchette, assumed leadership in April following François Legault’s resignation, yielding only modest gains for the governing party now polling near 16-18 percent. Recent surveys from Liaison Strategies and Pallas Data show PQ and PLQ essentially tied at roughly 30-32 percent, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further behind. This fragmentation and PQ’s stronger francophone support outside Montreal underpin trader consensus on its lead, while the October 5 election date leaves room for shifts from upcoming campaign developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
Переможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
ПК 59%
ЛПК 30%
CAQ 10%
ПКК <1%
$505,101 Обс.
$505,101 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
ПК
59%
ЛПК
30%
CAQ
10%
ПКК
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
ПК 59%
ЛПК 30%
CAQ 10%
ПКК <1%
$505,101 Обс.
$505,101 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
ПК
$52,348 Обс.
59%
ЛПК
$56,150 Обс.
30%
CAQ
$59,486 Обс.
10%
ПКК
$164,004 Обс.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 Обс.
<1%
QS
$58,291 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling trends position the Parti Québécois ahead in seat projections for Quebec’s National Assembly despite a tight popular vote race with the Quebec Liberal Party. A new CAQ premier, Christine Fréchette, assumed leadership in April following François Legault’s resignation, yielding only modest gains for the governing party now polling near 16-18 percent. Recent surveys from Liaison Strategies and Pallas Data show PQ and PLQ essentially tied at roughly 30-32 percent, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further behind. This fragmentation and PQ’s stronger francophone support outside Montreal underpin trader consensus on its lead, while the October 5 election date leaves room for shifts from upcoming campaign developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$505,101Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling trends position the Parti Québécois ahead in seat projections for Quebec’s National Assembly despite a tight popular vote race with the Quebec Liberal Party. A new CAQ premier, Christine Fréchette, assumed leadership in April following François Legault’s resignation, yielding only modest gains for the governing party now polling near 16-18 percent. Recent surveys from Liaison Strategies and Pallas Data show PQ and PLQ essentially tied at roughly 30-32 percent, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further behind. This fragmentation and PQ’s stronger francophone support outside Montreal underpin trader consensus on its lead, while the October 5 election date leaves room for shifts from upcoming campaign developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$505,101Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends position the Parti Québécois ahead in seat projections for Quebec’s National Assembly despite a tight popular vote race with the Quebec Liberal Party. A new CAQ premier, Christine Fréchette, assumed leadership in April following François Legault’s resignation, yielding only modest gains for the governing party now polling near 16-18 percent. Recent surveys from Liaison Strategies and Pallas Data show PQ and PLQ essentially tied at roughly 30-32 percent, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further behind. This fragmentation and PQ’s stronger francophone support outside Montreal underpin trader consensus on its lead, while the October 5 election date leaves room for shifts from upcoming campaign developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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