Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead near 30 percent heading into the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and a sharp drop in Coalition Avenir Québec backing after the leaders’ debates. Trader consensus at 91 percent for the PQ reflects this momentum, including 74 percent of voters expressing a desire for government change and seat projections indicating a likely majority. The Quebec Liberal Party and Conservative Party of Quebec trail in the mid-20s and high teens, respectively, while Québec solidaire remains lower. A late surge by another party in key ridings or shifts among remaining undecided voters could still narrow the outcome before election day.