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Світ·Канада

Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Світ·Канада

Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 45%

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Derek Lefebvre 43%

Emil Parfyonov 42%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 45%

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Derek Lefebvre 43%

Emil Parfyonov 42%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Kelly Lazo de la Vega

Kelly Lazo de la Vega

$0 Обс.

45%

icon for Andrés Fontecilla

Andrés Fontecilla

$0 Обс.

44%

icon for Derek Lefebvre

Derek Lefebvre

$24 Обс.

43%

icon for Emil Parfyonov

Emil Parfyonov

$23 Обс.

42%

icon for Randy Legault-Rankin

Randy Legault-Rankin

$0 Обс.

27%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Laurier-Dorion riding remains a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, with trader odds clustered near 44-50% for the leaders and well below for PQ's Kelly Lazo de la Vega, Conservative Derek Lefebvre, and CAQ's Emil Parfyonov. Fontecilla benefits from strong 2022 results and local incumbency in this Montreal district, while Liberals draw on historical strength and broader provincial positioning ahead of the October 5 general election. Recent candidate nominations through summer 2026 and the August 27 writ have not shifted the balance, as limited riding-specific polling and an open nomination window until September 17 sustain uncertainty. Key factors that could separate contenders include turnout among diverse urban voters, campaign focus on housing and services, and any late provincial momentum shifts.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$47
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Laurier-Dorion riding remains a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, with trader odds clustered near 44-50% for the leaders and well below for PQ's Kelly Lazo de la Vega, Conservative Derek Lefebvre, and CAQ's Emil Parfyonov. Fontecilla benefits from strong 2022 results and local incumbency in this Montreal district, while Liberals draw on historical strength and broader provincial positioning ahead of the October 5 general election. Recent candidate nominations through summer 2026 and the August 27 writ have not shifted the balance, as limited riding-specific polling and an open nomination window until September 17 sustain uncertainty. Key factors that could separate contenders include turnout among diverse urban voters, campaign focus on housing and services, and any late provincial momentum shifts.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$47
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Kelly Lazo de la Vega» з 45%, далі «Andrés Fontecilla» з 44%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 31, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — «Kelly Lazo de la Vega» з 45%. Наступний — «Andrés Fontecilla» з 44%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.