The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTaveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 16%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
16%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
15%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
8%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
7%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
7%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 16%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
$0 Обс.
29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
$0 Обс.
22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
$0 Обс.
16%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
$0 Обс.
15%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
$0 Обс.
8%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
$60 Обс.
7%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
$80 Обс.
7%
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Обсяг
$140Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Обсяг
$140Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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