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Світ·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Світ·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Gertrude Bourdon 45%

Claude Villeneuve 43%

Sol Zanetti 43%

Nancy Joannette 27%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Gertrude Bourdon 45%

Claude Villeneuve 43%

Sol Zanetti 43%

Nancy Joannette 27%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$0 Обс.

45%

icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$0 Обс.

43%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$0 Обс.

43%

icon for Nancy Joannette

Nancy Joannette

$0 Обс.

27%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$0 Обс.

26%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding remains a closely contested toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader pricing reflecting narrow gaps among Sol Zanetti (Québec solidaire incumbent), Claude Villeneuve (Parti québécois), Gertrude Bourdon (Parti libéral du Québec), and supporting candidates. Recent developments, including the August 27 writ drop and Villeneuve’s August 24 nomination, have kept probabilities balanced, as 338Canada and Qc125 projections show QS and PQ vote shares within a few points in this Capitale-Nationale district. Incumbency advantages for Zanetti compete with PQ momentum in provincial polling, while lower shares for CAQ, CPQ, and Liberal options underscore limited paths to victory for those parties. Further separation could emerge from riding-specific polls, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among urban and sovereignty-focused voters before the September 17 nomination deadline.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding remains a closely contested toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader pricing reflecting narrow gaps among Sol Zanetti (Québec solidaire incumbent), Claude Villeneuve (Parti québécois), Gertrude Bourdon (Parti libéral du Québec), and supporting candidates. Recent developments, including the August 27 writ drop and Villeneuve’s August 24 nomination, have kept probabilities balanced, as 338Canada and Qc125 projections show QS and PQ vote shares within a few points in this Capitale-Nationale district. Incumbency advantages for Zanetti compete with PQ momentum in provincial polling, while lower shares for CAQ, CPQ, and Liberal options underscore limited paths to victory for those parties. Further separation could emerge from riding-specific polls, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among urban and sovereignty-focused voters before the September 17 nomination deadline.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Gertrude Bourdon» з 45%, далі «Claude Villeneuve» з 44%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 31, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — «Gertrude Bourdon» з 45%. Наступний — «Claude Villeneuve» з 44%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.